Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-10-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8896 7568 150 111 2 0 0 0
OW 0 567 309 430 260 9 0 0
VODI 0 49 138 333 426 159 0 0
ODI 0 9 39 133 217 347 16 0
CDI 0 0 10 86 204 1083 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 100 4295 5878 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8014 7839 196 54 1 0 0 0
OW 0 598 345 540 139 14 0 0
VODI 0 58 120 349 578 185 0 0
ODI 0 1 17 176 211 423 16 0
CDI 0 0 2 62 212 739 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 33 3232 7725 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7925 7931 268 78 16 0 0 0
OW 3 276 277 395 35 1 0 0
VODI 0 26 135 538 328 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 201 679 149 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 325 936 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 52 2990 7718 708
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7017 8010 277 132 5 0 0 0
OW 13 488 285 347 102 12 0 0
VODI 0 45 161 544 284 73 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 297 496 193 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 453 720 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 106 4870 6762 297
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7009 7994 290 166 5 0 0 0
OW 21 495 273 274 80 8 0 0
VODI 0 54 159 561 287 84 1 0
ODI 0 0 6 291 403 201 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 563 723 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 108 4852 6752 297

Date: 2022-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4971 7744 1102 212 12 0 0 0
OW 88 877 251 450 173 5 0 0
VODI 3 73 99 403 672 145 0 0
ODI 0 3 13 87 585 317 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 282 647 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 4658 8084 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5007 7786 1116 228 29 0 0 0
OW 52 723 208 406 127 5 0 0
VODI 3 187 131 422 710 165 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 96 487 349 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 22 354 597 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 4656 8077 0

Date: 2022-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5723 7345 354 193 20 0 0 0
OW 51 615 272 425 98 0 0 0
VODI 13 23 85 482 526 35 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 92 821 361 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 267 1177 60 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 66 3563 8656 728
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5705 6722 342 297 66 0 0 0
OW 60 808 214 370 244 39 0 0
VODI 22 411 125 398 657 321 0 0
ODI 0 36 25 82 415 479 24 0
CDI 0 7 16 56 283 571 95 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 133 3726 8597 728

Date: 2022-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4369 7626 340 237 22 0 0 0
OW 0 653 356 500 191 19 0 0
VODI 0 202 110 526 680 126 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 54 629 431 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 271 881 276 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 66 2313 8523 2629
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4364 7136 326 384 101 5 0 0
OW 5 714 228 342 292 60 0 0
VODI 0 582 210 461 646 372 30 0
ODI 0 48 42 100 460 463 142 0
CDI 0 1 6 50 271 532 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 89 2338 8403 2629

Date: 2022-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4905 6608 213 139 17 0 0 0
OW 35 687 330 421 259 63 0 0
VODI 21 109 79 466 701 460 10 0
ODI 0 18 19 54 406 589 103 0
CDI 0 6 7 55 145 759 263 0
VCDI 0 0 4 24 157 2472 10214 1264
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4882 6085 237 287 216 85 0 0
OW 45 626 177 291 312 191 0 0
VODI 34 635 165 358 441 624 83 0
ODI 0 69 53 128 439 638 234 0
CDI 0 13 19 86 145 475 383 0
VCDI 0 0 1 9 132 2330 9890 1264


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