Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10038 7117 253 142 16 1 0 0
OW 0 576 268 363 82 12 0 0
VODI 0 127 138 389 430 110 0 0
ODI 0 2 30 95 314 451 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 167 1749 695 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 34 2449 5970 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9252 7340 134 118 21 0 0 0
OW 0 927 254 377 105 16 0 0
VODI 0 241 137 372 380 110 1 0
ODI 0 21 41 81 371 405 16 0
CDI 0 0 6 82 213 1112 455 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 114 5107 4273 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10040 7207 297 123 5 0 0 0
OW 0 288 368 429 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 74 378 314 40 0 0
ODI 0 3 13 158 322 210 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 348 1504 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 107 6145 3384 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8898 7799 207 154 6 0 0 0
OW 0 371 358 547 148 5 0 0
VODI 0 41 87 330 482 62 0 0
ODI 0 6 24 126 293 279 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 58 253 1231 264 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 79 4214 5751 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8898 7975 351 378 31 0 0 0
OW 0 204 231 393 171 6 0 0
VODI 0 32 77 282 481 102 0 0
ODI 0 6 19 112 263 301 2 0
CDI 0 0 6 48 254 1196 267 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 61 4186 5746 0

Date: 2022-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9066 7161 164 73 3 0 0 0
OW 0 579 321 479 216 16 0 0
VODI 0 51 133 334 480 183 0 0
ODI 0 3 24 143 208 396 21 0
CDI 0 0 7 75 157 851 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 57 3216 7339 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9066 7388 280 223 39 0 0 0
OW 0 352 218 395 223 30 0 0
VODI 0 51 121 279 491 200 3 0
ODI 0 3 23 130 150 450 30 0
CDI 0 0 7 67 153 835 380 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 65 3147 7269 0

Date: 2022-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8040 7955 212 82 5 0 0 0
OW 4 281 308 321 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 129 608 302 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 141 806 157 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 261 1015 125 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 3485 7727 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8044 7897 285 197 43 8 0 0
OW 0 285 222 418 216 22 0 0
VODI 0 77 121 366 556 100 1 0
ODI 0 4 24 134 325 432 20 0
CDI 0 0 5 43 216 597 422 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 85 3507 7409 0

Date: 2022-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7325 8063 329 111 7 0 0 0
OW 1 376 228 396 108 8 0 0
VODI 0 55 146 401 413 77 0 0
ODI 0 5 19 143 530 341 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 52 199 861 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 70 3540 7602 597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7322 7752 332 248 90 24 0 0
OW 4 605 189 349 225 78 1 0
VODI 0 121 146 267 547 296 13 0
ODI 0 18 47 139 188 525 40 0
CDI 0 3 12 69 145 649 311 0
VCDI 0 0 1 37 132 3255 7305 597

Date: 2022-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5476 8378 928 134 0 0 0 0
OW 9 559 301 413 94 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 112 585 430 84 2 0
ODI 0 1 10 215 526 175 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 452 569 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 5211 7157 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5466 8130 993 288 121 35 2 0
OW 19 749 192 342 185 114 11 0
VODI 0 77 131 534 536 238 62 0
ODI 0 8 24 130 360 310 99 0
CDI 0 1 9 61 244 556 197 0
VCDI 0 1 2 14 121 4786 6934 0


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