Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9780 7988 559 197 0 0 0 0
OW 0 400 262 367 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 226 643 248 36 0 0
ODI 0 13 40 428 1290 516 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 46 584 7017 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 11 1040 22 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9820 7848 452 134 0 0 0 0
OW 0 401 291 380 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 226 626 278 66 0 0
ODI 0 16 42 332 819 402 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 41 423 6780 961 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 1006 581 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9708 7963 440 220 1 0 0 0
OW 0 181 305 424 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 82 670 320 46 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 112 636 366 10 0
CDI 0 0 1 18 234 4387 1288 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 1787 2786 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8931 8500 330 142 10 0 0 0
OW 0 418 367 269 63 6 0 0
VODI 0 95 151 415 431 98 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 108 493 350 22 0
CDI 0 0 1 27 178 2661 759 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1975 5257 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8931 8525 453 173 18 0 0 0
OW 0 401 255 280 80 11 0 0
VODI 0 87 134 344 406 104 4 0
ODI 0 1 18 132 450 337 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 222 2635 822 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 2003 5189 0

Date: 2022-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9129 7624 181 143 19 2 0 0
OW 0 760 271 412 91 20 0 0
VODI 0 176 135 350 388 159 1 0
ODI 0 13 35 74 305 480 21 0
CDI 0 0 3 53 193 1414 506 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 4266 4819 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9129 7822 308 207 34 0 0 0
OW 0 523 154 389 110 32 0 0
VODI 0 205 118 271 329 149 2 0
ODI 0 20 33 104 299 461 26 0
CDI 0 3 12 61 226 1366 516 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 4333 4803 0

Date: 2022-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9130 8218 295 114 5 0 0 0
OW 0 319 319 384 48 2 0 0
VODI 0 48 70 399 304 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 13 94 422 220 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 243 1740 259 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 4705 4670 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9130 7518 186 114 22 4 0 0
OW 0 746 279 355 122 21 2 0
VODI 0 283 170 334 317 121 4 0
ODI 0 34 44 126 288 392 48 0
CDI 0 4 18 75 244 988 466 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 5165 4412 0

Date: 2022-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9703 7262 261 202 6 0 0 0
OW 0 324 289 571 96 2 0 0
VODI 0 41 85 337 423 22 0 0
ODI 0 6 30 118 348 181 1 0
CDI 0 0 9 74 269 1320 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 123 5014 4704 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9703 6586 176 205 24 2 0 0
OW 0 665 197 305 147 15 3 0
VODI 0 345 213 515 378 166 10 0
ODI 0 34 67 175 313 285 32 0
CDI 0 3 21 97 270 926 298 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 133 5145 4620 0

Date: 2022-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8896 7568 150 111 2 0 0 0
OW 0 567 309 430 260 9 0 0
VODI 0 49 138 333 426 159 0 0
ODI 0 9 39 133 217 347 16 0
CDI 0 0 10 86 204 1083 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 100 4295 5878 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8896 7196 157 177 75 4 0 0
OW 0 577 146 171 195 61 0 0
VODI 0 380 220 409 435 329 26 0
ODI 0 32 92 175 179 323 63 0
CDI 0 8 31 144 171 665 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 154 4511 5852 0


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