Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95751 3336 385 292 43 0 0 0
OW 0 28 96 183 14 3 0 0
VODI 0 4 47 262 93 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 12 238 520 47 0 0
CDI 0 4 17 174 545 2791 134 0
VCDI 0 1 4 9 150 3039 874 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95014 3953 390 247 16 0 0 0
OW 0 44 100 154 24 3 0 0
VODI 0 6 53 226 129 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 132 430 146 0 0
CDI 0 2 8 154 492 2664 98 0
VCDI 0 2 2 5 94 3112 1388 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94631 4388 310 218 4 0 0 0
OW 0 63 86 115 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 58 236 73 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 163 537 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 462 2618 194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 18 3520 1157 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95194 3762 292 229 11 0 0 0
OW 0 73 95 96 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 72 193 65 2 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 144 366 54 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 51 622 2296 393 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 3791 1233 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95194 3768 295 243 20 0 0 0
OW 0 60 84 92 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 72 163 61 2 0 0
ODI 0 7 16 146 289 27 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 69 690 2437 427 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 3677 1199 0

Date: 2022-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94574 4265 293 250 19 0 0 0
OW 0 83 69 94 36 1 0 0
VODI 0 24 74 167 81 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 172 276 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 107 618 1762 399 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2573 3109 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94574 4259 282 253 24 0 0 0
OW 0 77 73 88 44 2 0 0
VODI 0 30 73 151 81 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 21 170 209 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 116 626 1729 544 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 56 2610 2964 0

Date: 2022-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93968 4910 292 241 21 0 0 0
OW 0 83 81 119 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 59 259 113 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 138 507 111 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 270 1152 426 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 2039 4248 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93968 4862 271 264 31 0 0 0
OW 0 92 64 85 44 1 0 0
VODI 0 45 71 139 72 10 0 0
ODI 0 7 26 167 105 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 108 435 1007 429 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 248 2255 4245 0

Date: 2022-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93431 5545 262 278 23 0 0 0
OW 0 99 66 133 27 1 0 0
VODI 0 18 67 206 113 7 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 172 361 62 8 0
CDI 0 0 3 79 261 446 309 0
VCDI 0 0 1 49 120 2135 4803 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93431 5396 236 262 21 0 0 0
OW 0 144 37 94 36 1 0 0
VODI 0 95 65 87 80 11 0 0
ODI 0 26 53 162 56 31 5 0
CDI 0 4 19 181 326 327 288 0
VCDI 0 0 1 131 386 2281 4827 0

Date: 2022-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95120 4156 233 241 8 0 0 0
OW 0 131 57 110 55 1 0 0
VODI 0 74 48 190 96 9 0 0
ODI 0 9 22 189 140 35 2 0
CDI 0 0 5 106 197 264 64 0
VCDI 0 0 1 104 280 4406 2747 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95120 3972 210 201 4 0 0 0
OW 0 158 33 64 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 35 95 60 5 0 0
ODI 0 72 44 106 38 25 0 0
CDI 0 26 43 230 168 146 58 0
VCDI 0 0 1 244 468 4539 2755 0


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