Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8626 8145 508 160 0 0 0 0
OW 0 265 386 617 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 217 1032 458 21 0 0
ODI 0 4 32 549 2955 1280 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 1374 4663 95 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 520 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9548 7377 305 107 9 0 0 0
OW 0 443 401 461 92 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 264 735 514 59 0 0
ODI 0 10 48 465 2253 1149 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 757 5499 486 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 830 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9891 7851 641 309 2 0 0 0
OW 0 180 256 396 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 105 778 308 24 0 0
ODI 0 4 13 228 2222 447 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 913 6510 362 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 529 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10051 7739 527 282 1 0 0 0
OW 0 312 328 347 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 168 718 253 32 0 0
ODI 0 15 34 410 1574 452 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 45 737 6780 302 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 17 839 2 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10051 7696 560 366 1 0 0 0
OW 0 326 272 295 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 181 603 233 24 0 0
ODI 0 16 44 497 1184 295 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 45 1136 6997 295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 787 9 0

Date: 2022-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8999 8760 511 143 0 0 0 0
OW 0 393 290 373 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 224 633 266 44 0 0
ODI 0 16 41 376 983 608 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 45 457 6961 509 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 967 319 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8999 8673 583 275 3 0 0 0
OW 0 455 203 273 44 8 0 0
VODI 0 148 228 561 209 30 0 0
ODI 0 13 51 410 776 359 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 51 701 7152 508 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1031 320 0

Date: 2022-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10137 7621 493 162 0 0 0 0
OW 0 153 372 374 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 76 754 276 29 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 162 776 292 1 0
CDI 0 0 3 12 247 5731 1148 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1419 1768 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10137 7374 542 282 15 0 0 0
OW 0 351 208 343 69 14 0 0
VODI 0 67 177 562 273 50 0 0
ODI 0 7 26 233 647 344 6 0
CDI 0 0 3 44 323 5815 1757 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1248 1154 0

Date: 2022-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9176 8440 374 118 5 0 0 0
OW 0 334 356 321 43 12 0 0
VODI 0 53 138 646 264 61 2 0
ODI 0 1 11 100 579 355 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 175 3389 1298 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1780 4009 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9176 8061 488 215 28 6 0 0
OW 0 573 191 263 79 13 0 0
VODI 0 172 147 480 219 66 1 0
ODI 0 21 43 191 390 363 26 0
CDI 0 1 10 52 334 3187 1631 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 19 1962 3668 0

Date: 2022-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10038 7117 253 142 16 1 0 0
OW 0 576 268 363 82 12 0 0
VODI 0 127 138 389 430 110 0 0
ODI 0 2 30 95 314 451 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 167 1749 695 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 34 2449 5970 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10038 6992 391 323 78 20 0 0
OW 0 488 150 277 96 29 0 0
VODI 0 247 66 246 376 170 8 0
ODI 0 71 47 74 213 338 58 0
CDI 0 24 35 107 220 1590 1003 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 60 2625 5618 0


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