Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14203 10642 1286 659 81 23 0 0
OW 0 123 461 505 76 4 0 0
VODI 0 9 81 990 463 76 5 0
ODI 0 1 1 498 840 629 91 0
CDI 0 4 2 116 1665 1758 1023 0
VCDI 0 2 0 8 167 4303 4689 382
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15718 9330 1067 638 86 13 0 0
OW 0 190 494 555 73 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 120 928 486 35 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 516 874 421 10 0
CDI 0 2 1 160 1509 2205 818 0
VCDI 0 4 1 13 36 4315 4798 433
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16632 8971 1176 628 58 13 0 0
OW 0 80 185 461 113 16 0 0
VODI 0 7 54 681 540 96 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 242 1669 607 0 0
CDI 0 6 0 24 443 2312 571 0
VCDI 0 2 4 9 33 3882 6309 40
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17375 8475 872 444 25 10 0 0
OW 0 205 324 415 76 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 85 773 426 9 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 296 1072 581 9 0
CDI 0 2 1 12 482 2233 547 0
VCDI 0 5 2 13 21 3476 7360 212
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17375 8477 866 541 43 10 0 0
OW 0 206 336 395 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 78 640 414 14 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 346 936 452 9 0
CDI 0 2 1 17 619 2298 486 0
VCDI 0 5 2 14 22 3535 7421 212

Date: 2022-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18275 7631 560 363 45 7 4 0
OW 36 415 347 343 78 9 0 0
VODI 3 80 142 792 377 57 0 0
ODI 0 1 14 338 651 449 6 0
CDI 0 4 0 10 440 1927 538 0
VCDI 0 4 3 8 22 2472 8774 641
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18264 7564 531 448 80 7 4 0
OW 44 495 349 240 66 13 0 0
VODI 6 68 175 732 322 67 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 411 609 387 3 0
CDI 0 4 0 15 497 1860 517 0
VCDI 0 4 3 8 39 2587 8798 641

Date: 2022-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18656 7370 665 473 28 0 0 0
OW 0 158 250 406 94 3 0 0
VODI 0 12 56 743 435 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 109 713 296 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 12 148 1866 84 0
VCDI 0 4 1 7 27 2173 10299 738
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18656 6833 547 416 133 17 0 0
OW 0 547 228 269 120 42 0 0
VODI 0 158 183 746 331 128 0 0
ODI 0 2 15 290 478 425 25 0
CDI 0 2 0 22 351 1633 502 0
VCDI 0 4 1 7 32 2129 9856 738

Date: 2022-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18624 6720 747 685 128 14 9 0
OW 0 197 211 446 198 2 0 0
VODI 0 8 62 608 579 52 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 121 676 214 5 0
CDI 0 2 0 33 362 1320 248 0
VCDI 0 5 2 23 78 1531 10566 1386
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18624 6104 702 660 224 12 9 0
OW 0 654 146 285 223 36 0 0
VODI 0 161 139 632 468 114 21 0
ODI 0 6 35 264 609 194 58 0
CDI 0 2 2 53 451 1443 455 0
VCDI 0 5 2 22 46 1334 10285 1386

Date: 2022-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18419 6493 639 425 156 20 2 0
OW 2 531 267 463 184 11 0 0
VODI 0 25 76 624 496 95 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 149 639 236 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 210 1255 152 0
VCDI 0 5 1 3 49 2844 10540 849
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18420 6301 649 421 316 37 2 0
OW 1 619 187 335 131 103 0 0
VODI 0 126 133 630 387 216 4 0
ODI 0 3 14 258 524 269 84 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 348 1434 453 0
VCDI 0 5 1 3 28 2402 10154 849


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