Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13386 9420 1627 706 17 8 1 0
OW 0 190 335 610 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 298 1406 221 48 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 829 1662 618 19 0
CDI 0 7 6 118 1270 2241 518 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 130 3893 5445 735
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13082 9833 1585 746 65 10 0 0
OW 0 288 495 549 59 5 0 0
VODI 0 54 363 1119 220 79 1 0
ODI 0 1 10 1088 1366 352 33 0
CDI 0 8 6 274 1465 2047 350 17
VCDI 0 1 1 7 479 4042 4927 839
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13038 10963 1765 1042 139 16 0 0
OW 0 62 208 537 99 5 0 0
VODI 0 10 52 1227 365 32 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 585 1582 244 7 0
CDI 0 8 0 149 1060 2289 697 2
VCDI 0 1 2 6 58 4174 4775 664
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14277 10210 1489 769 109 23 0 0
OW 0 96 342 546 90 3 0 0
VODI 0 11 49 1110 405 73 5 0
ODI 0 2 0 503 1024 524 153 0
CDI 0 7 0 112 1494 1646 1225 0
VCDI 0 0 1 8 81 4362 4351 766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14277 10224 1617 843 119 21 0 0
OW 0 76 215 502 85 6 0 0
VODI 0 17 48 1043 374 76 4 0
ODI 0 2 0 522 1135 535 154 0
CDI 0 7 0 132 1410 1640 1185 0
VCDI 0 0 1 6 80 4353 4391 766

Date: 2022-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15924 9065 1255 550 65 25 0 0
OW 0 136 554 524 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 92 1074 382 48 2 0
ODI 0 1 1 531 865 459 84 0
CDI 0 3 0 138 1578 1920 985 0
VCDI 0 3 1 8 64 4303 4791 372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15924 9074 1423 666 59 25 0 0
OW 0 119 367 436 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 111 1030 374 52 1 0
ODI 0 1 1 524 918 463 95 0
CDI 0 6 0 164 1526 1833 944 0
VCDI 0 0 1 5 65 4382 4822 372

Date: 2022-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16062 9338 1377 631 35 13 2 0
OW 0 76 228 581 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 60 1040 349 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 352 1959 366 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 31 698 2317 515 0
VCDI 0 0 2 6 152 3742 5884 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16062 9168 1143 627 45 13 2 0
OW 0 223 371 394 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 147 978 384 25 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 529 973 257 1 0
CDI 0 1 1 105 1583 1898 539 0
VCDI 0 5 4 8 188 4245 5859 0

Date: 2022-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17284 8444 1021 514 45 14 0 0
OW 15 117 249 472 93 5 0 0
VODI 0 11 72 704 485 51 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 295 1052 905 9 0
CDI 0 5 0 32 393 1979 877 0
VCDI 0 4 2 16 18 3732 6721 227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17246 8207 839 464 33 14 0 0
OW 41 305 302 384 50 0 0 0
VODI 12 60 193 780 498 27 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 345 807 413 4 0
CDI 0 3 0 42 653 1878 458 0
VCDI 0 6 2 18 45 4354 7145 227

Date: 2022-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17646 8232 731 399 47 9 0 0
OW 12 291 339 379 79 6 0 0
VODI 0 42 110 738 431 37 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 319 869 473 6 0
CDI 0 2 0 10 444 2168 546 0
VCDI 0 6 0 12 24 2866 8143 444
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17618 7505 555 362 35 9 0 0
OW 30 817 297 235 25 0 0 0
VODI 10 237 311 766 309 7 0 0
ODI 0 8 21 463 798 190 1 0
CDI 0 2 0 19 671 1670 146 0
VCDI 0 6 0 12 56 3683 8548 444


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