Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-09-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114387 23465 2681 1297 45 8 1 0
OW 0 556 787 1204 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 628 3124 882 76 0 0
ODI 0 7 40 1716 6414 2677 74 0
CDI 0 9 21 418 3144 7302 1896 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 175 6245 6811 735
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112733 25097 2703 1101 108 10 0 0
OW 0 742 1020 1047 99 5 0 0
VODI 0 198 724 2846 723 87 1 0
ODI 0 13 79 2196 6067 1610 35 0
CDI 0 12 38 669 4108 7565 768 17
VCDI 0 1 1 13 695 6519 6559 839
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116479 23427 2770 1546 168 16 0 0
OW 0 277 609 1271 123 5 0 0
VODI 0 58 264 2914 920 36 0 0
ODI 0 3 36 1628 6341 1475 7 0
CDI 0 9 24 297 3042 8694 965 2
VCDI 0 1 2 6 112 6711 6146 664
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116925 23469 2404 1197 151 23 0 0
OW 0 355 840 1308 132 6 0 0
VODI 0 82 281 2498 943 114 5 0
ODI 0 5 47 1388 4903 1784 153 0
CDI 0 17 23 304 3703 8785 1321 0
VCDI 0 0 1 15 231 7283 5586 766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116925 23526 2562 1335 166 21 0 0
OW 0 290 620 1119 135 9 0 0
VODI 0 90 344 2394 812 113 4 0
ODI 0 3 45 1534 4916 1842 155 0
CDI 0 19 24 315 3798 8505 1271 0
VCDI 0 0 1 13 236 7505 5635 766

Date: 2022-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120745 20087 2071 968 93 25 0 0
OW 0 521 1023 1272 117 2 0 0
VODI 0 124 387 2191 1002 89 2 0
ODI 0 11 41 1214 3737 1980 103 0
CDI 0 6 14 342 3324 9671 1288 0
VCDI 0 4 5 18 258 8199 5742 372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120745 20163 2263 1146 101 25 0 0
OW 0 424 775 1063 142 2 0 0
VODI 0 148 429 2120 915 79 1 0
ODI 0 8 55 1295 3623 2207 111 0
CDI 0 8 11 363 3467 9141 1243 0
VCDI 0 2 8 18 283 8512 5780 372

Date: 2022-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119637 22262 2406 1193 50 13 2 0
OW 0 260 626 1175 70 3 0 0
VODI 0 37 191 2133 805 13 0 0
ODI 0 3 7 738 5145 1012 5 0
CDI 0 7 10 118 1770 11940 1082 0
VCDI 0 0 6 14 279 6809 7227 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119637 21568 1780 1032 79 16 2 0
OW 0 703 838 820 156 0 0 0
VODI 0 259 535 1972 892 68 0 0
ODI 0 32 76 1232 3017 1586 3 0
CDI 0 2 8 297 3540 9227 1101 0
VCDI 0 5 9 18 435 8893 7210 0

Date: 2022-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121781 20747 1906 1038 52 14 0 0
OW 15 438 656 892 157 5 0 0
VODI 0 95 264 1676 823 80 0 0
ODI 0 11 36 768 3176 1636 10 0
CDI 0 5 0 99 1688 11104 1724 0
VCDI 0 4 2 17 54 8557 7291 227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121743 19812 1336 762 88 15 0 0
OW 41 924 715 765 147 7 0 0
VODI 12 455 647 1665 882 82 0 0
ODI 0 93 139 1042 2274 1454 5 0
CDI 0 10 25 233 2413 9202 1184 0
VCDI 0 6 2 23 146 10636 7836 227

Date: 2022-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122213 20303 1582 852 70 9 0 0
OW 12 760 685 837 139 7 0 0
VODI 0 183 402 1560 767 73 0 0
ODI 0 19 56 907 2499 1026 6 0
CDI 0 2 3 127 1683 11165 1144 0
VCDI 0 6 0 15 36 7175 10281 444
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122185 18855 1015 699 80 11 0 0
OW 30 1556 653 566 129 4 0 0
VODI 10 725 827 1510 684 63 0 0
ODI 0 127 195 1179 1814 1119 1 0
CDI 0 4 38 305 2256 8820 633 0
VCDI 0 6 0 39 231 9438 10797 444


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