Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93888 5461 225 226 30 0 0 0
OW 0 38 85 170 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 24 230 151 14 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 135 325 176 11 0
CDI 0 2 2 66 1545 2147 274 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 76 2224 1544 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92857 6478 252 181 28 0 0 0
OW 0 69 85 130 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 3 45 261 74 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 156 350 119 1 0
CDI 0 3 2 127 1016 2641 250 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 2205 1715 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92530 6501 410 359 58 0 0 0
OW 0 48 79 119 25 4 0 0
VODI 0 3 49 240 74 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 181 508 138 2 0
CDI 0 4 1 112 681 3330 159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 2431 1027 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91893 7162 475 394 40 1 0 0
OW 0 29 58 161 35 3 0 0
VODI 0 4 30 189 174 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 371 278 29 0
CDI 0 2 2 117 614 3348 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 68 2205 1077 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91893 7165 484 423 44 1 0 0
OW 0 30 57 148 46 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 22 173 161 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 326 293 44 0
CDI 0 2 2 114 640 3220 115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 2319 1184 0

Date: 2022-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92377 6637 691 215 36 0 0 0
OW 0 70 90 149 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 48 236 124 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 7 146 420 139 0 0
CDI 0 5 27 163 641 2548 829 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 75 1872 1513 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92377 6655 691 223 36 0 0 0
OW 0 51 98 162 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 40 216 112 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 7 148 382 151 15 0
CDI 0 5 27 160 686 2474 762 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 1935 1565 0

Date: 2022-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93247 5565 811 271 48 0 0 0
OW 0 36 79 150 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 39 213 141 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 20 210 664 211 0 0
CDI 0 2 11 91 553 2943 366 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 1786 1595 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93247 5529 775 256 74 0 0 0
OW 0 67 82 161 30 7 0 0
VODI 0 11 65 197 141 11 0 0
ODI 0 3 13 117 393 159 0 0
CDI 0 3 24 194 720 2453 279 0
VCDI 0 0 1 10 81 2315 1682 0

Date: 2022-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95879 3305 392 325 48 0 0 0
OW 0 13 73 186 16 1 0 0
VODI 0 5 23 239 128 10 0 0
ODI 0 8 13 276 554 88 0 0
CDI 0 5 27 130 484 2983 269 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 101 2506 1004 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95879 3274 315 303 52 0 0 0
OW 0 41 100 168 20 4 0 0
VODI 0 3 62 231 125 10 0 0
ODI 0 5 17 142 340 67 0 0
CDI 0 11 25 300 650 1930 135 0
VCDI 0 2 9 21 144 3577 1138 0

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95751 3336 385 292 43 0 0 0
OW 0 28 96 183 14 3 0 0
VODI 0 4 47 262 93 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 12 238 520 47 0 0
CDI 0 4 17 174 545 2791 134 0
VCDI 0 1 4 9 150 3039 874 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95751 3284 323 310 52 4 0 0
OW 0 69 88 145 19 1 0 0
VODI 0 14 100 219 91 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 28 158 295 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 288 710 1544 65 0
VCDI 0 5 15 38 198 4292 943 0


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