Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7130 8456 236 136 8 0 0 0
OW 0 453 322 297 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 364 1777 620 20 0 0
ODI 0 3 36 1010 3707 518 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 108 3657 2507 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 355 1 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7928 7765 220 84 2 0 0 0
OW 0 574 296 284 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 178 453 1649 614 51 0 0
ODI 0 7 37 1031 3646 557 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 99 3545 2518 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 423 50 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8385 8010 331 158 4 0 0 0
OW 0 249 395 440 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 241 1536 575 13 0 0
ODI 0 7 19 665 5759 1102 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 1182 2505 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 384 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8887 7459 332 154 1 0 0 0
OW 0 315 316 460 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 272 1235 762 80 0 0
ODI 0 11 43 595 4404 2065 185 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 1005 2722 84 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 498 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8887 7471 337 163 1 0 0 0
OW 0 298 310 463 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 263 1179 732 99 0 0
ODI 0 16 52 639 4367 2000 175 0
CDI 0 0 1 77 1072 2747 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 519 0 0

Date: 2022-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8289 7859 354 121 0 0 0 0
OW 0 355 415 377 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 299 1551 410 12 0 0
ODI 0 6 32 840 4633 1216 2 0
CDI 0 0 4 186 1627 2804 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 61 444 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8289 7895 361 161 1 0 0 0
OW 0 308 372 355 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 102 322 1467 437 17 0 0
ODI 0 11 45 874 4412 1223 2 0
CDI 0 0 4 218 1809 2736 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 500 0 0

Date: 2022-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8634 7861 609 179 0 0 0 0
OW 0 193 352 611 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 163 1602 509 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 673 4742 1115 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 1463 3138 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 117 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8634 7502 351 89 3 0 0 0
OW 0 386 327 321 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 166 361 1352 329 9 0 0
ODI 0 33 88 1040 3608 1121 0 0
CDI 0 0 7 305 2500 2514 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 279 731 0 0

Date: 2022-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8304 8369 597 170 0 0 0 0
OW 0 223 319 580 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 164 1251 414 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 22 775 3420 1374 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 1549 3886 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 451 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8304 7901 299 82 1 0 0 0
OW 0 426 321 275 31 3 0 0
VODI 0 248 330 1093 258 50 0 0
ODI 0 67 149 1065 2343 1383 3 0
CDI 0 0 3 275 2464 3160 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 343 1156 0 0

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8626 8145 508 160 0 0 0 0
OW 0 265 386 617 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 217 1032 458 21 0 0
ODI 0 4 32 549 2955 1280 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 1374 4663 95 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 520 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8626 7693 302 96 2 0 0 0
OW 0 439 292 219 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 293 386 1021 277 35 0 0
ODI 0 64 160 849 2158 1174 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 158 2013 4148 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 367 1127 0 0


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