Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11906 8677 1577 642 23 0 0 0
OW 0 185 328 1001 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 124 2003 401 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 596 1864 194 7 0
CDI 0 6 3 59 1952 3863 409 0
VCDI 0 3 1 4 11 1998 7046 887
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7590 11457 3373 535 23 5 1 0
OW 0 177 621 811 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 323 1853 225 11 8 0
ODI 0 8 2 795 1725 114 57 0
CDI 0 5 0 163 2340 3306 418 14
VCDI 0 1 1 2 22 2341 7072 384
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6767 12362 3347 2057 275 0 0 0
OW 0 79 272 722 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 201 1730 266 12 3 0
ODI 0 2 0 676 2422 267 49 0
CDI 0 6 1 50 1050 2457 854 1
VCDI 0 0 0 2 10 3181 6047 609
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10555 11985 1784 703 28 6 1 0
OW 0 179 313 607 34 2 0 0
VODI 0 36 306 1484 234 36 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 916 1960 337 23 0
CDI 0 5 2 87 1132 2113 754 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 50 3554 5741 892
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10555 12034 1897 777 31 6 1 0
OW 0 117 248 595 39 1 0 0
VODI 0 49 261 1531 311 43 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 832 2013 323 22 0
CDI 0 4 2 62 986 2137 659 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 58 3538 5837 892

Date: 2022-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13772 8973 1648 763 65 10 2 0
OW 0 243 416 553 52 2 0 0
VODI 0 55 362 1250 208 55 22 0
ODI 0 2 5 990 1455 490 71 0
CDI 0 7 7 184 1260 1800 914 0
VCDI 0 0 1 9 206 4083 5403 528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13772 9031 1724 833 78 10 2 0
OW 0 166 410 579 59 8 0 0
VODI 0 74 295 1313 262 44 24 0
ODI 0 3 3 847 1479 363 59 0
CDI 0 6 6 169 1123 1817 851 0
VCDI 0 0 1 8 245 4198 5476 528

Date: 2022-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11982 11726 2174 910 31 7 0 0
OW 0 73 274 626 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 41 1369 315 10 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 548 1672 280 10 0
CDI 0 7 2 95 915 2790 311 4
VCDI 0 2 4 7 183 4112 4672 664
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11982 11423 1536 660 42 9 0 0
OW 0 293 508 438 36 23 0 0
VODI 0 100 425 1020 210 69 1 0
ODI 0 2 21 1117 1186 219 23 0
CDI 0 9 3 304 1326 1889 310 24
VCDI 0 2 4 16 343 4990 4659 644

Date: 2022-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14376 9850 1642 884 145 10 0 0
OW 0 75 253 582 86 10 0 0
VODI 0 11 52 1102 398 88 1 0
ODI 0 2 0 540 1190 468 132 0
CDI 0 5 0 86 1124 1876 1291 0
VCDI 0 2 0 9 62 4397 4469 648
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14376 9607 1092 621 97 9 0 0
OW 0 238 445 400 101 31 11 0
VODI 0 88 354 890 276 46 47 0
ODI 0 4 56 931 1134 310 67 0
CDI 0 8 0 350 1321 1568 960 5
VCDI 0 0 0 11 76 4885 4808 643

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14203 10642 1286 659 81 23 0 0
OW 0 123 461 505 76 4 0 0
VODI 0 9 81 990 463 76 5 0
ODI 0 1 1 498 840 629 91 0
CDI 0 4 2 116 1665 1758 1023 0
VCDI 0 2 0 8 167 4303 4689 382
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14203 10231 751 400 81 31 0 0
OW 0 366 486 344 65 21 14 0
VODI 0 158 408 659 308 52 42 0
ODI 0 19 176 864 885 352 76 0
CDI 0 7 9 500 1691 1375 569 0
VCDI 0 0 1 9 262 4962 5107 382


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