Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86993 11844 931 357 25 0 0 0
OW 0 135 56 111 23 0 1 0
VODI 0 80 62 224 92 15 2 0
ODI 0 9 32 158 327 66 5 0
CDI 0 0 4 125 566 2427 982 0
VCDI 0 1 0 7 14 1450 1976 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86947 11930 841 308 41 0 0 0
OW 0 139 46 101 42 7 0 0
VODI 0 54 54 172 174 33 0 0
ODI 0 8 22 119 261 152 17 0
CDI 0 1 2 117 281 2436 1843 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 739 2205 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87433 11468 898 243 24 0 0 0
OW 0 89 57 115 26 3 0 0
VODI 0 8 46 223 109 11 1 0
ODI 0 0 3 116 393 164 20 0
CDI 0 0 1 79 329 2954 780 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 8 668 2780 50
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92758 6613 273 216 60 5 0 0
OW 0 42 101 127 50 2 0 0
VODI 0 1 27 162 215 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 136 348 173 14 0
CDI 0 2 0 81 762 2984 277 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 2401 1237 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92758 6618 281 242 69 4 0 0
OW 0 37 92 98 50 4 0 0
VODI 0 1 28 161 170 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 157 394 195 38 0
CDI 0 2 0 64 753 2920 232 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2453 1258 0

Date: 2022-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91078 8091 382 218 25 0 0 0
OW 0 51 98 135 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 34 275 93 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 178 339 126 1 0
CDI 0 3 2 80 1507 2248 175 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 2167 1754 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91078 8103 402 254 21 0 0 0
OW 0 36 83 125 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 29 228 86 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 174 320 120 4 0
CDI 0 3 2 105 1536 2209 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 2215 1760 0

Date: 2022-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92275 6848 439 222 20 0 0 0
OW 0 56 95 126 24 2 0 0
VODI 0 5 36 248 82 16 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 189 513 155 3 0
CDI 0 3 1 85 639 3136 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 2239 1369 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92275 6844 436 276 29 0 0 0
OW 0 55 82 94 29 5 0 0
VODI 0 9 50 195 74 22 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 138 274 121 4 0
CDI 0 4 1 167 870 2835 243 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 2565 1388 0

Date: 2022-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93628 5595 421 229 21 1 0 0
OW 0 54 83 119 24 3 0 0
VODI 0 8 40 233 86 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 160 438 209 3 0
CDI 0 3 3 153 525 3521 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 2855 526 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93628 5546 396 254 9 0 0 0
OW 0 87 69 88 36 3 0 0
VODI 0 21 67 170 78 12 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 163 281 104 7 0
CDI 0 3 5 219 663 3211 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 3268 537 0

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92130 6679 713 445 28 0 0 0
OW 0 24 81 175 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 30 208 151 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 122 400 198 12 0
CDI 0 2 9 151 671 2422 1131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1871 1366 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92130 6605 635 398 3 0 0 0
OW 0 78 91 127 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 78 204 87 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 27 158 240 100 3 0
CDI 0 2 8 208 911 2353 834 0
VCDI 0 0 1 6 43 2036 1672 0


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