Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2988 10216 1159 415 5 0 0 0
OW 0 393 198 290 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 220 230 1190 758 74 0 0
ODI 0 9 72 772 3451 2710 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 1602 3939 869 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 376 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3004 11196 539 140 5 0 0 0
OW 0 541 223 330 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 339 284 1243 876 163 0 0
ODI 0 22 105 748 3354 2603 34 0
CDI 0 0 2 64 1596 3982 285 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 168 174 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4098 9988 1575 221 20 0 0 0
OW 0 199 354 318 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 243 1710 605 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 759 3946 765 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 2142 4545 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 170 231 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7104 8398 287 150 11 0 0 0
OW 0 409 291 281 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 329 1818 604 16 0 0
ODI 0 7 26 991 3766 506 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 78 3517 2870 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 295 4 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7104 8511 315 191 13 0 0 0
OW 0 309 300 316 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 283 1767 680 35 0 0
ODI 0 8 31 934 3541 503 3 0
CDI 0 1 6 110 3671 2862 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 287 15 0

Date: 2022-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7759 7855 255 112 5 0 0 0
OW 0 512 303 312 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 414 1737 595 37 0 0
ODI 0 1 29 1084 3659 494 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 113 3560 2520 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 370 83 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7759 7977 309 170 6 0 0 0
OW 0 401 274 314 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 127 381 1797 634 50 0 0
ODI 0 3 37 929 3363 525 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 148 3809 2502 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 344 89 0

Date: 2022-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7438 8867 288 139 5 0 0 0
OW 0 281 403 417 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 249 1571 610 11 0 0
ODI 0 1 8 585 6186 888 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 1248 2464 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 308 15 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7438 8432 219 137 5 0 0 0
OW 0 536 238 274 32 3 0 0
VODI 0 210 443 1473 719 166 0 0
ODI 0 14 48 721 3395 672 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 118 3894 2369 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 461 15 0

Date: 2022-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8785 7605 353 151 1 0 0 0
OW 0 267 361 445 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 258 1462 607 18 0 0
ODI 0 15 42 698 5054 1609 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 948 2697 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 448 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8785 7069 201 110 1 0 0 0
OW 0 542 267 275 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 315 459 1475 642 118 0 0
ODI 0 44 84 823 2919 849 41 0
CDI 0 0 3 131 3038 3227 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 578 0 0

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8871 7366 341 146 0 0 0 0
OW 0 342 371 419 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 300 1510 510 26 0 0
ODI 0 6 31 765 4352 1861 43 0
CDI 0 0 6 149 1203 2639 247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 481 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8871 6896 216 106 0 0 0 0
OW 0 543 275 265 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 330 475 1539 497 129 4 0
ODI 0 22 83 909 2467 1039 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 170 3065 3184 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 655 0 0


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