Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-08-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96457 33423 3809 1324 103 0 0 0
OW 0 762 793 1093 168 16 1 0
VODI 0 364 453 3836 1424 137 2 0
ODI 0 29 124 1936 6206 3748 60 0
CDI 0 4 6 185 4111 10444 3821 106
VCDI 0 3 0 10 40 2178 7380 2492
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94869 36012 3052 1233 111 1 0 0
OW 0 1074 866 1113 202 9 0 0
VODI 0 525 516 3613 1604 224 0 0
ODI 0 77 156 1821 5800 3607 51 0
CDI 0 8 7 215 3712 10741 4203 12
VCDI 0 6 1 6 43 1414 8506 1638
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101288 32037 3622 1002 107 0 0 0
OW 0 597 773 1019 162 3 0 0
VODI 0 100 544 3962 1281 77 1 0
ODI 0 6 15 1259 6110 1729 54 0
CDI 0 2 1 133 3715 11874 1773 0
VCDI 0 4 0 5 39 1840 10283 1631
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111576 23827 2119 941 93 5 0 0
OW 0 685 776 1164 124 2 0 0
VODI 0 148 530 4031 1245 44 0 0
ODI 0 10 28 1633 5960 986 14 0
CDI 0 9 5 192 6233 9884 775 0
VCDI 0 4 1 5 95 5112 8040 752
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111576 23907 2221 1102 107 4 0 0
OW 0 631 730 1187 127 4 0 0
VODI 0 120 463 3833 1244 51 0 0
ODI 0 11 35 1629 5802 976 43 0
CDI 0 12 9 210 6385 9903 734 0
VCDI 0 2 1 5 85 5095 8052 752

Date: 2022-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106822 27575 3226 1019 42 0 0 0
OW 0 728 931 1375 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 598 4037 957 60 0 0
ODI 0 5 32 1918 5831 800 33 0
CDI 0 5 7 285 7051 8122 1095 3
VCDI 0 2 2 3 32 4460 9513 258
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106822 27727 3418 1248 42 0 0 0
OW 0 579 791 1258 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 538 3967 983 70 3 0
ODI 0 5 40 1823 5418 840 35 0
CDI 0 7 7 338 7430 8058 1099 2
VCDI 0 0 2 3 24 4474 9504 259

Date: 2022-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107700 27289 4506 1387 77 7 1 0
OW 0 392 773 1451 79 2 0 0
VODI 0 86 379 3704 1036 32 1 0
ODI 0 3 13 1291 9424 1280 38 0
CDI 0 9 3 139 2997 8551 665 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 5460 7433 812
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107700 26749 3836 1194 91 7 1 0
OW 0 730 859 974 115 9 1 0
VODI 0 273 914 3307 938 200 22 0
ODI 0 17 62 1917 5160 897 94 0
CDI 0 10 2 579 7289 8125 762 22
VCDI 0 0 1 1 42 6094 7258 796

Date: 2022-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108705 27590 4105 1311 41 1 0 0
OW 0 461 696 1253 90 5 0 0
VODI 0 130 566 3245 971 41 3 0
ODI 0 16 45 1620 7622 2206 103 0
CDI 0 8 5 282 2583 8763 701 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 43 6938 6540 357
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108705 26775 3235 1085 45 0 0 0
OW 0 876 896 763 103 9 4 0
VODI 0 494 1101 2930 886 144 43 0
ODI 0 51 174 2102 4428 1101 137 0
CDI 0 8 10 828 5820 9170 731 0
VCDI 0 1 1 5 68 7530 6432 357

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114387 23465 2681 1297 45 8 1 0
OW 0 556 787 1204 86 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 628 3124 882 76 0 0
ODI 0 7 40 1716 6414 2677 74 0
CDI 0 9 21 418 3144 7302 1896 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 175 6245 6811 735
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114387 22587 1802 1059 40 10 1 0
OW 0 988 819 677 127 24 0 0
VODI 0 560 1222 2873 724 222 7 0
ODI 0 22 295 2139 3587 1423 75 0
CDI 0 10 18 1008 6016 7774 1678 25
VCDI 0 0 1 10 252 6855 7021 710


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