Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85934 12352 1129 624 20 0 0 0
OW 0 98 93 179 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 60 270 147 35 5 0
ODI 0 1 12 114 279 302 11 0
CDI 0 0 11 55 251 3621 1590 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 418 1423 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92082 6820 633 457 52 0 0 0
OW 0 117 65 84 69 15 0 0
VODI 0 30 86 190 166 107 6 0
ODI 0 0 14 130 203 289 61 0
CDI 0 0 9 74 280 2702 2637 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 162 1560 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88668 9904 850 626 37 3 0 0
OW 0 64 55 108 25 5 0 0
VODI 0 18 49 227 147 13 0 0
ODI 0 9 8 143 266 215 7 0
CDI 0 0 7 68 263 2397 1394 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 831 2693 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83000 15497 1271 365 31 2 0 0
OW 0 76 80 109 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 82 237 119 14 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 172 320 88 1 0
CDI 0 5 6 130 538 3125 507 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 81 1758 1411 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83000 15501 1274 371 33 2 0 0
OW 0 73 82 110 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 22 75 203 103 7 0 0
ODI 0 1 16 202 322 85 0 0
CDI 0 5 6 127 546 2868 512 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 2025 1407 0

Date: 2022-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85909 12975 824 371 36 0 0 0
OW 0 132 45 112 31 0 1 0
VODI 0 81 52 197 128 19 6 0
ODI 0 9 36 135 294 83 23 0
CDI 0 0 9 109 367 2353 1570 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 941 2180 56
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85909 12982 827 366 40 0 0 0
OW 0 137 43 121 34 0 1 0
VODI 0 66 59 177 108 14 4 0
ODI 0 12 28 145 320 76 23 0
CDI 0 0 9 115 353 2183 1508 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1123 2244 56

Date: 2022-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89060 9335 1177 476 24 0 0 0
OW 0 89 61 106 31 1 0 0
VODI 0 14 46 242 95 14 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 160 449 95 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 275 2938 720 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 13 700 2859 24
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89060 9283 1183 479 51 1 0 0
OW 0 103 43 143 33 5 0 0
VODI 0 44 46 187 113 17 0 0
ODI 0 9 16 122 312 108 10 0
CDI 0 0 2 134 372 2985 1156 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 632 2421 24

Date: 2022-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94294 5146 298 236 32 0 0 0
OW 0 76 79 125 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 32 254 127 10 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 176 394 90 16 0
CDI 0 0 2 85 484 3250 317 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1222 2312 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94294 5113 300 265 61 0 0 0
OW 0 83 53 129 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 45 179 103 20 0 0
ODI 0 1 12 165 303 110 17 0
CDI 0 0 2 138 557 3351 478 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1091 2150 0

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93888 5461 225 226 30 0 0 0
OW 0 38 85 170 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 24 230 151 14 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 135 325 176 11 0
CDI 0 2 2 66 1545 2147 274 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 76 2224 1544 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93888 5453 248 297 70 0 0 0
OW 0 39 55 153 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 27 194 117 19 1 0
ODI 0 0 5 108 298 175 10 0
CDI 0 2 1 75 1607 2666 331 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1701 1488 0


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