Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83907 14287 768 621 89 0 0 0
OW 0 76 96 272 98 1 0 0
VODI 0 11 64 384 275 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 122 350 678 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 528 3932 1180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 253 1032 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85315 12452 953 1012 74 0 0 0
OW 0 96 112 288 78 8 0 0
VODI 0 14 61 307 185 86 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 128 348 629 37 0
CDI 0 1 1 66 602 4209 738 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 430 870 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88351 10136 716 702 36 0 0 0
OW 0 68 71 244 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 45 315 159 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 126 306 325 1 0
CDI 0 1 10 53 347 4278 1322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 538 882 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86011 12513 779 725 12 0 0 0
OW 0 67 88 224 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 51 274 167 15 0 0
ODI 0 12 8 116 332 248 0 0
CDI 0 1 7 57 394 3735 1394 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 11 651 1131 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86011 12530 792 770 16 0 0 0
OW 0 47 84 188 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 42 238 169 14 0 0
ODI 0 10 8 141 321 273 1 0
CDI 0 1 8 63 412 3859 1432 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 503 1092 0

Date: 2022-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88218 10342 872 570 42 0 0 0
OW 0 134 96 112 47 2 0 0
VODI 0 33 72 238 130 73 6 0
ODI 0 1 15 120 232 329 25 0
CDI 0 0 11 64 253 2697 2698 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 223 1417 28
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88218 10361 894 607 51 0 0 0
OW 0 107 71 89 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 39 75 199 115 73 3 0
ODI 0 3 15 143 211 328 34 0
CDI 0 0 11 66 285 2793 2776 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 129 1333 28

Date: 2022-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89785 8942 799 495 32 0 0 0
OW 0 75 59 94 27 3 0 0
VODI 0 13 73 248 114 17 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 153 309 200 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 66 262 2658 983 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 487 3179 11
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89785 8892 811 540 64 8 0 0
OW 0 84 35 78 44 20 0 0
VODI 0 54 75 182 106 105 0 0
ODI 0 2 21 166 211 275 46 0
CDI 0 0 3 90 319 2767 2837 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 190 1279 11

Date: 2022-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84607 13754 1359 357 39 4 0 0
OW 0 69 59 112 30 4 0 0
VODI 0 18 51 239 146 17 0 0
ODI 0 12 15 133 187 275 9 0
CDI 0 3 15 91 290 2811 1080 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1067 2247 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84607 13674 1352 389 67 8 0 0
OW 0 107 35 87 51 10 0 0
VODI 0 60 77 189 98 91 0 0
ODI 0 4 17 142 150 352 5 0
CDI 0 11 18 125 326 3265 2831 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 452 500 0

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86993 11844 931 357 25 0 0 0
OW 0 135 56 111 23 0 1 0
VODI 0 80 62 224 92 15 2 0
ODI 0 9 32 158 327 66 5 0
CDI 0 0 4 125 566 2427 982 0
VCDI 0 1 0 7 14 1450 1976 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86993 11523 932 453 66 0 0 0
OW 0 167 32 76 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 188 38 144 119 24 3 0
ODI 0 141 50 139 204 124 23 0
CDI 0 50 33 170 619 3734 2726 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 76 214 0


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