Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1120 8965 2307 576 21 0 0 0
OW 0 187 200 579 113 7 0 0
VODI 0 46 105 560 705 52 2 0
ODI 0 3 13 515 3383 974 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 2766 7573 676 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 516 34 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 895 9559 2063 640 33 0 0 0
OW 1 250 216 486 183 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 140 534 872 76 0 0
ODI 0 3 42 670 3369 1093 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 2616 7333 523 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 222 124 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2974 9327 1048 279 23 0 0 0
OW 0 143 248 325 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 144 663 409 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 687 4063 1452 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 1831 7702 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 307 53 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2475 10333 736 262 5 0 0 0
OW 0 260 197 313 85 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 164 801 498 32 0 0
ODI 0 1 22 747 4158 1381 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 2199 6543 454 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 65 254 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2475 10454 771 298 20 0 0 0
OW 0 141 186 297 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 144 812 520 48 0 0
ODI 0 2 18 723 4118 1340 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 2208 6492 439 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 141 267 0

Date: 2022-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4354 8838 638 175 3 0 0 0
OW 0 269 243 312 79 2 0 0
VODI 0 56 150 887 701 75 0 0
ODI 0 2 25 694 4036 1694 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 2274 5688 591 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 55 161 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4354 8949 685 209 16 0 0 0
OW 0 157 226 297 72 3 0 0
VODI 0 56 119 897 673 87 0 0
ODI 0 3 26 678 4018 1580 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 2314 5745 541 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 99 202 0

Date: 2022-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6145 7878 358 179 2 0 0 0
OW 0 265 221 272 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 160 937 382 11 0 0
ODI 0 2 18 663 5096 1382 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 1804 5265 294 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 96 531 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6145 7852 310 165 10 0 0 0
OW 0 252 209 275 58 4 0 0
VODI 0 106 200 914 882 111 0 0
ODI 0 5 38 672 3623 2206 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 2752 4407 627 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 26 157 0

Date: 2022-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4237 9823 549 132 14 0 0 0
OW 0 280 237 249 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 193 1097 546 22 0 0
ODI 0 5 31 735 4069 2267 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 1546 4769 625 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 69 366 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4237 9736 509 96 1 0 0 0
OW 0 323 234 247 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 161 212 1169 937 174 0 0
ODI 0 2 55 712 3401 2588 187 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1826 4365 740 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 104 0

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2988 10216 1159 415 5 0 0 0
OW 0 393 198 290 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 220 230 1190 758 74 0 0
ODI 0 9 72 772 3451 2710 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 1602 3939 869 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 376 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2988 10225 1121 450 15 0 0 0
OW 0 370 197 251 129 2 0 0
VODI 0 241 290 1145 1027 325 1 0
ODI 0 2 49 803 2987 2969 182 0
CDI 0 0 2 58 1706 3445 1016 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 86 0


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