Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-08-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90935 33255 4824 2017 152 0 0 0
OW 0 388 486 1702 331 13 0 0
VODI 0 111 308 2196 1518 167 2 0
ODI 0 41 42 1200 6026 1911 36 0
CDI 0 57 11 269 6824 17582 2097 0
VCDI 0 7 0 2 22 4842 6533 1141
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92106 32513 4452 2509 163 0 0 0
OW 5 450 639 1580 443 15 0 0
VODI 0 134 374 1954 1708 223 0 0
ODI 0 63 120 1431 6176 1816 53 0
CDI 0 25 18 563 7770 16504 1584 0
VCDI 0 7 1 2 34 3754 7444 415
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95485 31097 3972 2148 163 0 0 0
OW 0 285 658 1282 222 11 0 0
VODI 0 46 391 2154 1243 91 0 0
ODI 0 1 39 1722 8317 2257 4 0
CDI 0 2 10 227 5114 16399 2384 0
VCDI 0 7 1 2 9 2086 8268 951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96047 32515 2913 1825 69 0 0 0
OW 0 430 669 1258 265 7 0 0
VODI 0 96 394 2509 1224 86 0 0
ODI 0 22 51 2188 8094 1780 1 0
CDI 0 4 7 249 5083 15514 2563 0
VCDI 0 6 1 7 27 1942 8245 957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96047 32681 3026 2008 122 0 0 0
OW 0 267 561 1141 247 11 0 0
VODI 0 97 394 2396 1281 92 0 0
ODI 0 16 46 2240 7939 1761 4 0
CDI 0 6 8 250 5157 15689 2635 0
VCDI 0 6 0 1 16 1776 8170 957

Date: 2022-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101769 27763 2818 1376 104 5 0 0
OW 2 646 722 1075 226 21 0 0
VODI 1 187 417 2732 1249 179 13 0
ODI 0 10 71 2566 6916 2215 46 0
CDI 0 2 12 384 5168 13839 4239 0
VCDI 0 6 2 1 79 1668 7850 669
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101770 27948 2961 1589 153 10 0 0
OW 2 438 621 984 177 15 0 0
VODI 0 208 385 2600 1270 184 10 0
ODI 0 12 61 2542 6791 2148 64 0
CDI 0 2 12 418 5273 14110 4327 0
VCDI 0 6 2 1 78 1460 7747 669

Date: 2022-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106545 24045 2463 1362 98 0 0 0
OW 1 611 751 913 131 16 0 0
VODI 0 182 402 3262 1140 62 5 0
ODI 0 8 28 1704 9139 2150 2 0
CDI 0 4 5 82 3424 13278 2364 0
VCDI 0 4 0 2 45 2845 9881 94
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106545 24015 2471 1511 178 25 1 0
OW 1 497 578 887 217 37 3 0
VODI 0 317 503 2442 1710 280 2 0
ODI 0 17 94 2126 6305 2970 91 0
CDI 0 3 3 357 5512 12662 5257 0
VCDI 0 5 0 2 55 2377 6898 94

Date: 2022-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92876 35205 5555 1239 114 5 0 0
OW 1 550 817 989 169 18 0 0
VODI 0 184 384 3471 1389 85 0 0
ODI 0 18 48 1680 7418 3418 54 0
CDI 0 6 17 128 3290 12019 3798 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 11 2799 9235 53
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92876 35022 5491 1337 177 22 0 0
OW 1 596 628 909 201 29 0 0
VODI 0 319 584 2853 1853 322 0 0
ODI 0 12 98 2095 5690 3420 194 0
CDI 0 13 20 313 4442 12638 6328 0
VCDI 0 5 0 1 28 1913 6565 53

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96457 33423 3809 1324 103 0 0 0
OW 0 762 793 1093 168 16 1 0
VODI 0 364 453 3836 1424 137 2 0
ODI 0 29 124 1936 6206 3748 60 0
CDI 0 4 6 185 4111 10444 3821 106
VCDI 0 3 0 10 40 2178 7380 2492
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96457 33073 3763 1601 174 12 0 0
OW 0 716 589 946 249 11 0 0
VODI 0 582 627 2859 1989 437 5 0
ODI 0 158 170 2446 4499 3808 257 0
CDI 0 54 36 529 5107 11744 6268 302
VCDI 0 2 0 3 34 511 4734 2296


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