Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83850 13094 1400 608 55 0 0 0
OW 4 146 114 278 93 1 0 0
VODI 0 17 50 451 422 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 183 542 216 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 752 6031 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 450 124 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76645 18993 2575 962 51 0 0 0
OW 0 48 111 399 109 3 0 0
VODI 0 9 25 409 367 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 145 493 206 13 0
CDI 0 0 5 101 1207 5544 152 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 476 20 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82888 14173 1659 650 84 0 0 0
OW 0 24 84 359 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 25 542 278 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 134 482 402 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 694 5151 541 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 329 480 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85925 12015 955 640 64 0 0 0
OW 0 48 124 277 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 64 458 262 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 134 313 686 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 584 3842 1460 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 259 817 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85925 12018 990 738 75 0 0 0
OW 0 45 100 226 73 1 0 0
VODI 0 5 52 407 271 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 127 293 686 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 590 3864 1440 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 239 834 0

Date: 2022-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81743 16089 1075 756 75 0 0 0
OW 0 90 100 281 97 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 58 364 238 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 123 381 649 17 0
CDI 0 0 1 65 558 4164 811 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 259 1057 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81743 16104 1104 819 85 0 0 0
OW 0 78 78 270 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 51 311 260 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 116 372 661 28 0
CDI 0 0 2 73 551 4194 798 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 220 1059 0

Date: 2022-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86583 11813 763 626 54 0 0 0
OW 0 102 76 246 33 1 0 0
VODI 0 18 52 343 158 10 2 0
ODI 0 0 8 139 350 301 2 0
CDI 0 1 3 54 425 5046 552 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 575 764 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86583 11842 773 709 73 0 0 0
OW 0 74 94 281 74 4 0 0
VODI 0 17 24 219 229 119 4 0
ODI 0 0 4 112 199 868 1 0
CDI 0 1 7 87 445 4385 514 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 557 801 0

Date: 2022-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89050 9635 614 685 16 0 0 0
OW 0 50 90 239 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 39 283 171 28 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 125 236 349 1 0
CDI 0 2 8 54 341 4011 1440 0
VCDI 0 0 1 2 7 699 870 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89050 9650 656 767 30 0 0 0
OW 0 40 63 244 115 8 0 0
VODI 0 4 20 183 175 192 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 102 102 802 172 0
CDI 0 2 9 92 388 3409 1297 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 676 842 0

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85934 12352 1129 624 20 0 0 0
OW 0 98 93 179 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 60 270 147 35 5 0
ODI 0 1 12 114 279 302 11 0
CDI 0 0 11 55 251 3621 1590 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 418 1423 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85934 12412 1177 672 31 0 0 0
OW 0 60 75 234 90 11 0 0
VODI 0 8 33 141 218 165 8 0
ODI 0 0 7 86 129 837 231 0
CDI 0 0 13 109 263 2932 1585 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 431 1205 0


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