Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1269 9050 1253 115 26 2 0 0
OW 1 441 246 117 46 5 0 0
VODI 0 172 216 466 276 37 0 0
ODI 0 23 99 447 1578 814 11 0
CDI 0 0 7 148 2460 9343 820 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 2118 425 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4309 6845 621 115 36 3 0 0
OW 0 514 198 200 73 2 0 0
VODI 0 180 210 495 323 19 0 0
ODI 0 29 91 655 2156 554 1 0
CDI 0 0 2 116 3315 9236 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1597 68 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2599 9181 576 386 38 0 0 0
OW 0 122 160 396 93 2 0 0
VODI 0 37 116 690 582 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 313 3543 831 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 2538 8837 167 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 799 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1151 9523 1812 374 34 0 0 0
OW 0 172 188 467 132 7 0 0
VODI 0 54 110 659 616 57 8 0
ODI 0 1 11 443 3587 748 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 2959 7631 605 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 642 5 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1151 9534 1821 403 55 1 0 0
OW 0 157 167 371 130 7 0 0
VODI 0 59 127 690 630 59 6 0
ODI 0 0 6 485 3458 832 56 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 3055 7581 592 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 605 4 0

Date: 2022-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1710 9350 1627 390 22 0 0 0
OW 1 166 226 542 154 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 114 537 818 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 20 604 3271 1154 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 2580 7733 424 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 296 170 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1710 9347 1633 436 70 0 0 0
OW 1 168 204 423 169 1 0 0
VODI 0 59 132 582 737 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 636 3143 1266 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 2726 7658 420 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 258 163 0

Date: 2022-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1103 9856 2054 397 15 1 0 0
OW 0 159 196 378 50 3 0 0
VODI 0 26 104 643 372 22 0 0
ODI 0 1 17 575 4201 1371 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 1965 7828 386 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 193 140 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1102 9788 2006 431 101 21 0 0
OW 1 189 212 424 138 72 0 0
VODI 0 61 113 485 631 270 3 0
ODI 0 4 40 590 3065 1810 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 89 2668 7062 427 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 183 79 0

Date: 2022-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5902 6982 584 278 5 0 0 0
OW 0 221 205 321 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 146 736 429 8 0 0
ODI 0 1 23 748 4174 1339 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 2167 6993 292 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 156 212 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5902 6803 571 346 102 0 0 0
OW 0 296 121 371 196 28 0 0
VODI 0 143 193 521 842 95 0 0
ODI 0 12 73 785 3240 1781 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 109 2456 6570 392 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 22 105 0

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2313 9833 1431 284 3 0 0 0
OW 0 246 232 328 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 172 812 610 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 25 821 3900 1678 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 1909 6357 607 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 41 228 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2313 9594 1384 422 165 23 0 0
OW 0 327 160 272 274 78 0 0
VODI 0 196 208 546 772 202 0 0
ODI 0 4 107 934 3040 2045 90 0
CDI 0 0 1 121 2255 5781 732 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 0


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