Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-08-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86054 33829 5282 2290 279 2 0 0
OW 5 697 534 1050 250 10 0 0
VODI 0 237 317 1685 1337 96 0 0
ODI 0 35 101 1291 3976 1908 88 0
CDI 0 1 10 549 6493 20009 3432 0
VCDI 0 4 0 47 80 6163 8663 244
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85262 35549 4925 2482 206 3 0 0
OW 0 685 526 1239 297 12 0 0
VODI 0 226 304 1791 1332 147 0 0
ODI 0 33 100 1459 4490 1494 33 0
CDI 0 1 8 521 7406 20718 1104 0
VCDI 0 4 4 70 116 5482 8305 714
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88731 34926 4009 2300 193 0 0 0
OW 0 258 429 1359 272 4 0 0
VODI 0 82 244 2468 1551 96 0 0
ODI 0 14 16 953 6519 1769 4 0
CDI 0 30 22 194 6051 20008 888 0
VCDI 0 5 1 2 26 4767 7399 1458
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89893 33690 4983 2115 149 0 0 0
OW 0 335 509 1550 344 9 0 0
VODI 0 97 300 2426 1461 102 8 0
ODI 0 39 34 1099 6334 1683 42 0
CDI 0 58 13 230 6732 17667 2240 0
VCDI 0 5 0 4 11 4617 7237 1032
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89893 33725 5055 2296 184 1 0 0
OW 0 296 413 1281 352 9 0 0
VODI 0 101 324 2451 1486 102 6 0
ODI 0 42 32 1136 6153 1785 61 0
CDI 0 55 15 256 6844 17543 2178 0
VCDI 0 5 0 4 12 4638 7282 1032

Date: 2022-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89657 35293 4311 2066 160 1 0 0
OW 1 380 588 1621 424 4 0 0
VODI 0 119 328 2069 1631 172 0 0
ODI 0 43 53 1390 5684 2221 26 0
CDI 0 40 16 418 7663 17183 1643 0
VCDI 0 7 0 5 35 4698 7098 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89657 35322 4352 2261 244 3 0 0
OW 1 345 509 1380 419 3 0 0
VODI 0 124 366 2064 1555 178 0 0
ODI 0 55 52 1411 5542 2307 48 0
CDI 0 30 17 448 7803 17085 1608 0
VCDI 0 6 0 5 34 4703 7111 0

Date: 2022-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92254 33109 4823 1995 112 1 0 0
OW 0 336 578 1360 175 14 0 0
VODI 0 65 276 2300 1141 82 11 0
ODI 0 3 36 1317 9138 2052 20 0
CDI 0 2 3 107 5115 18106 1120 0
VCDI 0 7 1 2 9 2832 7216 1330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92244 32976 4801 2225 266 24 0 0
OW 10 326 506 1358 379 106 11 0
VODI 0 130 284 1706 1606 572 25 0
ODI 0 81 110 1266 5484 3027 21 0
CDI 0 3 15 524 7904 15854 1316 21
VCDI 0 6 1 2 51 3504 6994 1309

Date: 2022-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100580 27245 3356 1904 68 0 0 0
OW 0 314 622 1385 213 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 318 2371 1264 65 0 0
ODI 0 6 42 1983 8134 2099 1 0
CDI 0 4 8 225 4845 15738 2822 0
VCDI 0 6 1 5 15 1864 7465 2006
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100575 27000 3387 2056 223 0 0 0
OW 5 389 380 1281 481 71 0 0
VODI 0 202 358 1767 1822 421 0 0
ODI 0 48 175 1690 5224 2875 188 0
CDI 0 5 47 1076 6752 14191 3041 26
VCDI 0 5 0 3 37 2208 7059 1980

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95067 32594 4029 1832 80 0 0 0
OW 3 437 695 1299 226 0 0 0
VODI 2 116 379 2627 1280 113 5 0
ODI 0 11 58 2249 7489 2177 34 0
CDI 0 2 12 320 4468 15571 3098 0
VCDI 0 6 0 3 20 2515 7926 305
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95059 32302 3935 1931 308 23 0 0
OW 10 497 482 1128 461 124 0 0
VODI 3 310 439 1827 1679 419 8 0
ODI 0 48 217 2101 4939 3137 332 0
CDI 0 3 100 1341 6149 14583 3628 0
VCDI 0 6 0 2 27 2090 7095 305


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