Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1573 6760 780 280 43 2 0 0
OW 0 509 318 314 53 4 0 0
VODI 0 230 240 653 301 36 0 0
ODI 0 43 85 445 1935 1526 54 0
CDI 0 10 27 133 2453 9233 3543 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 54 27 417 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1013 7163 1190 320 44 0 0 0
OW 1 780 258 182 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 324 281 491 269 28 0 0
ODI 0 96 95 497 1883 1615 291 0
CDI 0 17 30 173 2132 8372 4362 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 14 69 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 8947 2016 190 19 0 0 0
OW 1 284 187 143 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 215 503 243 10 0 0
ODI 0 23 70 316 1611 675 3 0
CDI 0 0 13 126 2000 8538 2294 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 432 2924 1
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 9402 1974 185 6 0 0 0
OW 0 377 200 144 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 194 199 490 312 3 0 0
ODI 0 22 89 336 1453 773 100 0
CDI 0 0 22 141 1966 8776 1990 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1635 1248 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 9399 1982 183 6 0 0 0
OW 0 345 177 146 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 224 204 473 281 14 0 0
ODI 0 27 91 331 1515 833 108 0
CDI 0 0 30 163 1924 8627 1992 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 1713 1238 0

Date: 2022-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3186 7633 913 86 36 0 0 0
OW 0 483 220 148 56 2 0 0
VODI 0 163 278 449 285 26 0 0
ODI 0 23 108 569 1804 777 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 129 2858 8967 668 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 1991 165 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3186 7671 912 71 33 0 0 0
OW 0 404 212 142 46 3 0 0
VODI 0 204 277 424 287 30 0 0
ODI 0 23 112 603 1842 826 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 141 2838 8819 684 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 2085 149 0

Date: 2022-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3230 8503 555 219 40 0 0 0
OW 0 184 198 379 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 139 819 406 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 384 3863 491 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 1925 9536 116 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 929 17 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3230 8112 424 178 44 0 0 0
OW 0 440 219 264 72 5 0 0
VODI 0 171 196 561 356 46 0 0
ODI 0 23 61 710 2518 404 1 0
CDI 0 0 11 111 3266 9126 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 1381 16 0

Date: 2022-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 426 10647 1364 361 29 0 0 0
OW 0 135 199 403 111 10 0 0
VODI 0 34 124 709 559 63 7 0
ODI 0 0 5 345 3522 812 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 3034 7795 577 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 706 22 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 426 10116 1192 286 68 1 0 0
OW 0 464 177 242 86 11 0 0
VODI 0 212 240 510 403 117 14 0
ODI 0 24 80 670 2396 849 57 0
CDI 0 0 3 142 4241 7603 562 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 805 22 0

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1120 8965 2307 576 21 0 0 0
OW 0 187 200 579 113 7 0 0
VODI 0 46 105 560 705 52 2 0
ODI 0 3 13 515 3383 974 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 2766 7573 676 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 516 34 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1120 8276 2128 605 83 0 0 0
OW 0 489 169 140 109 14 0 0
VODI 0 380 209 514 471 144 5 0
ODI 0 56 117 795 2333 912 42 0
CDI 0 0 2 233 3988 7424 658 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 628 34 0


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