Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2838 7307 2344 2093 517 13 0 0
OW 0 148 244 789 111 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 109 1098 486 7 0 0
ODI 0 56 68 458 1871 588 3 0
CDI 0 5 9 235 3254 5539 561 0
VCDI 0 4 1 5 845 9181 4974 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1956 9313 2301 1676 316 9 0 0
OW 0 165 189 755 115 2 0 0
VODI 0 129 120 931 466 27 0 0
ODI 0 80 25 456 2036 330 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 288 3923 5437 835 32
VCDI 0 4 0 15 478 8316 5124 12
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1564 10233 3033 1510 191 2 0 0
OW 0 109 201 645 82 2 0 0
VODI 0 34 67 1100 426 16 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 532 2636 361 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 122 3335 6512 567 0
VCDI 0 4 0 16 97 5218 7242 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2034 10222 2830 1594 186 14 0 0
OW 0 115 150 692 117 1 0 0
VODI 0 35 47 794 600 47 1 0
ODI 0 6 1 565 2011 823 169 0
CDI 0 2 0 291 3618 4640 2205 0
VCDI 0 4 0 26 48 3556 7779 643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2034 10235 2843 1667 200 13 0 0
OW 0 97 124 592 93 2 0 0
VODI 0 42 59 785 584 47 9 0
ODI 0 4 2 610 2081 840 238 0
CDI 0 2 0 289 3542 4668 2148 0
VCDI 0 4 0 19 80 3511 7759 643

Date: 2022-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1400 12142 1894 1525 180 4 0 0
OW 0 113 168 646 102 20 0 0
VODI 0 36 55 850 582 110 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 655 1783 919 15 0
CDI 0 2 0 242 2841 5491 1890 0
VCDI 0 4 0 44 70 3648 8070 352
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1400 12144 1898 1613 188 9 0 0
OW 0 105 141 530 86 26 0 0
VODI 0 42 75 821 566 106 0 0
ODI 0 9 7 704 1874 1023 14 0
CDI 0 2 0 247 2740 5472 1927 0
VCDI 0 4 0 47 104 3556 8034 352

Date: 2022-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3384 11340 1674 1128 90 4 0 0
OW 0 137 223 524 89 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 91 1340 541 20 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 573 3005 330 0 0
CDI 0 16 18 88 2823 5689 267 0
VCDI 0 4 2 3 24 3081 6737 2579
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3384 11272 1653 1131 116 4 0 0
OW 0 161 187 542 118 3 0 0
VODI 0 71 114 924 630 90 0 0
ODI 0 10 31 656 2274 331 1 0
CDI 0 3 6 311 3312 5279 842 13
VCDI 0 19 20 92 122 3417 6161 2566

Date: 2022-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2046 12521 2396 1124 50 0 0 0
OW 0 110 229 692 133 2 0 0
VODI 0 27 176 1162 709 43 0 0
ODI 0 27 10 454 2661 215 0 0
CDI 0 22 23 137 3410 5614 271 0
VCDI 0 6 0 2 11 3343 6548 1692
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2046 12418 2276 1060 89 0 0 0
OW 0 168 245 578 120 8 0 0
VODI 0 60 159 958 746 80 0 0
ODI 0 7 116 477 2212 157 0 0
CDI 0 14 14 414 3687 5357 509 125
VCDI 0 46 24 84 120 3615 6310 1567

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5908 10003 1749 820 42 0 0 0
OW 0 125 190 851 120 5 0 0
VODI 0 54 139 1252 538 79 0 0
ODI 0 38 26 563 2293 259 1 0
CDI 0 57 11 183 3530 6077 241 0
VCDI 0 7 0 2 22 4073 5467 1141
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5908 9891 1565 729 59 0 0 0
OW 0 176 251 531 77 1 0 0
VODI 0 86 138 1152 610 47 0 0
ODI 0 7 113 708 1726 324 0 0
CDI 0 25 33 520 3982 5554 489 417
VCDI 0 99 15 31 91 4567 5220 724


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