Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-07-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78386 33745 7066 3262 619 15 0 0
OW 0 777 689 1422 272 11 0 0
VODI 0 367 390 2075 1186 97 0 0
ODI 0 101 167 1069 4529 2377 62 0
CDI 0 15 50 521 7678 18803 4168 0
VCDI 0 4 1 6 1043 10684 5391 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77766 38299 4810 2691 449 9 0 0
OW 1 1099 531 1257 315 5 0 0
VODI 0 481 448 1671 1159 158 0 0
ODI 0 176 140 1091 4432 2384 298 0
CDI 0 20 39 599 7293 18674 5383 54
VCDI 0 4 0 15 580 9512 5193 12
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77594 38604 7825 2383 245 2 0 0
OW 9 446 500 1107 170 3 0 0
VODI 0 278 319 2081 1033 42 0 0
ODI 0 24 79 1022 4854 1321 4 0
CDI 0 1 17 332 6182 20893 3051 0
VCDI 0 4 0 16 101 6203 10302 1
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77631 40187 6907 2447 225 14 0 0
OW 5 595 485 1116 225 2 0 0
VODI 0 258 300 1707 1324 70 1 0
ODI 0 28 91 1111 3940 1901 269 0
CDI 0 2 24 523 6316 19263 4473 0
VCDI 0 4 0 26 64 5428 9443 643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77626 40204 6959 2571 243 14 0 0
OW 10 534 409 1000 209 5 0 0
VODI 0 299 312 1646 1333 78 9 0
ODI 0 31 95 1139 4001 1953 346 0
CDI 0 2 32 555 6202 19166 4654 0
VCDI 0 4 0 19 106 5462 9177 643

Date: 2022-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83831 37053 4766 2155 274 4 0 0
OW 0 710 500 1142 251 23 0 0
VODI 0 205 368 1755 1270 156 0 0
ODI 0 32 112 1378 4102 1910 19 0
CDI 0 2 8 467 6496 20604 2586 0
VCDI 0 4 0 44 127 6101 8241 352
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83831 37116 4801 2279 286 10 0 0
OW 0 597 440 1015 225 32 0 0
VODI 0 255 380 1644 1274 148 0 0
ODI 0 32 119 1464 4183 2050 18 0
CDI 0 2 14 492 6398 20350 2634 0
VCDI 0 4 0 47 154 6208 8194 352

Date: 2022-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86549 36723 3975 2065 187 4 0 0
OW 0 354 537 1220 186 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 249 2719 1220 34 0 0
ODI 0 2 26 1132 7432 1067 1 0
CDI 0 16 18 157 5661 20668 655 0
VCDI 0 4 2 3 27 4247 7229 2579
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86543 36249 3862 2106 242 4 0 0
OW 6 652 488 1179 315 9 0 0
VODI 0 243 323 1825 1298 170 0 0
ODI 0 33 93 1531 5124 1046 19 0
CDI 0 3 21 563 7593 19811 1300 13
VCDI 0 19 20 92 141 4980 6566 2566

Date: 2022-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85814 37015 5298 2225 145 0 0 0
OW 0 287 564 1390 311 12 0 0
VODI 0 66 343 2381 1509 123 7 0
ODI 0 27 17 936 6516 1632 51 0
CDI 0 23 24 226 7002 18343 1508 0
VCDI 0 6 0 2 13 4192 7348 1692
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85814 36381 5050 2162 243 1 0 0
OW 0 676 521 1168 343 28 0 0
VODI 0 275 428 1761 1390 254 14 0
ODI 0 31 201 1265 4789 1503 108 0
CDI 0 15 22 720 8548 18016 1822 125
VCDI 0 46 24 84 183 4500 6970 1567

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90935 33255 4824 2017 152 0 0 0
OW 0 388 486 1702 331 13 0 0
VODI 0 111 308 2196 1518 167 2 0
ODI 0 41 42 1200 6026 1911 36 0
CDI 0 57 11 269 6824 17582 2097 0
VCDI 0 7 0 2 22 4842 6533 1141
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90935 32492 4502 2044 291 0 0 0
OW 0 704 503 965 351 27 0 0
VODI 0 476 383 1882 1288 292 5 0
ODI 0 63 230 1595 4260 1791 93 0
CDI 0 25 38 869 8574 17122 2741 417
VCDI 0 99 15 31 109 5283 5829 724


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