Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70088 21819 3730 1276 79 0 0 0
OW 2 189 207 315 78 1 0 0
VODI 0 50 84 490 323 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 256 649 360 2 0
CDI 0 0 27 169 1004 3015 262 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 181 3559 837 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75608 17787 3233 619 48 1 0 0
OW 1 195 201 304 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 116 421 392 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 30 213 815 162 0 0
CDI 0 0 18 201 1376 3003 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 381 3510 196 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73072 21551 2794 624 22 0 0 0
OW 0 45 115 396 75 1 0 0
VODI 0 13 24 429 420 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 14 192 986 191 0 0
CDI 0 1 16 99 2610 2383 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 547 2433 25 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77109 15698 4046 1449 130 0 0 0
OW 0 72 98 381 110 6 0 0
VODI 0 26 21 313 450 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 155 842 208 0 0
CDI 0 0 14 116 2528 3244 50 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 209 1770 3 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77109 15695 4053 1509 142 0 0 0
OW 0 70 85 386 116 6 0 0
VODI 0 30 27 239 458 42 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 151 788 202 0 0
CDI 0 0 17 129 2564 3257 50 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 201 1764 3 0

Date: 2022-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75498 19453 2159 1462 82 0 0 0
OW 0 148 99 325 119 2 1 0
VODI 0 35 33 295 436 65 0 0
ODI 0 3 17 155 603 334 3 0
CDI 0 1 14 163 1594 4545 104 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 70 1282 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75498 19454 2169 1493 95 0 0 0
OW 0 133 90 338 119 1 1 0
VODI 0 48 28 236 472 67 2 0
ODI 0 3 17 161 530 323 1 0
CDI 0 2 18 172 1646 4517 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 1320 8 0

Date: 2022-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77151 19288 1587 727 54 0 0 0
OW 9 81 116 271 57 1 0 0
VODI 0 8 48 446 355 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 204 718 248 0 0
CDI 0 1 8 80 1132 5394 285 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 660 134 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77148 19264 1593 823 85 0 0 0
OW 11 82 92 311 152 7 0 0
VODI 1 23 46 231 460 102 0 0
ODI 0 8 17 188 359 415 3 0
CDI 0 1 19 175 1220 4801 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 1007 158 0

Date: 2022-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76711 17915 3281 967 45 0 0 0
OW 5 67 128 286 82 1 0 0
VODI 0 40 48 445 419 14 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 192 507 313 0 0
CDI 0 0 8 87 668 5848 327 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 622 69 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76705 17839 3341 1103 84 0 0 0
OW 11 109 55 260 160 1 0 0
VODI 0 55 37 239 409 131 0 0
ODI 0 19 22 187 268 414 30 0
CDI 0 1 14 188 779 5318 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 934 88 0

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83850 13094 1400 608 55 0 0 0
OW 4 146 114 278 93 1 0 0
VODI 0 17 50 451 422 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 183 542 216 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 752 6031 127 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 450 124 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83844 13064 1424 759 106 0 0 0
OW 10 123 69 242 193 1 0 0
VODI 0 45 35 232 427 74 0 0
ODI 0 25 33 185 269 357 3 0
CDI 0 0 3 186 857 5584 115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 690 133 0


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