Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 943 5264 1373 715 63 3 0 0
OW 2 205 322 707 177 14 0 0
VODI 0 48 193 891 484 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 38 329 1092 920 3 0
CDI 0 1 12 264 3419 9646 2055 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 174 2069 603 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 877 5969 1083 588 44 0 0 0
OW 0 303 387 620 138 9 0 0
VODI 0 107 254 736 451 61 0 0
ODI 0 4 49 356 1339 863 3 0
CDI 0 0 15 237 3388 11028 1302 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 526 1188 156 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 985 6868 827 454 29 0 0 0
OW 1 281 342 495 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 195 792 338 26 0 0
ODI 0 4 42 442 2427 683 0 0
CDI 0 1 13 130 3785 9946 1681 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 288 867 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2482 5902 583 338 31 2 0 0
OW 0 376 331 378 85 7 0 0
VODI 0 135 222 665 403 21 0 0
ODI 0 25 79 448 2054 1259 41 0
CDI 0 3 20 114 2822 9801 2772 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 57 142 481 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2482 5966 651 412 64 2 0 0
OW 0 303 274 322 71 7 0 0
VODI 0 139 215 631 327 25 0 0
ODI 0 29 70 449 1986 1411 25 0
CDI 0 4 25 132 2968 9563 2771 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 224 498 0

Date: 2022-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 290 8022 965 259 52 0 0 0
OW 0 661 294 248 39 4 0 0
VODI 0 279 242 531 306 37 0 0
ODI 0 57 78 466 1871 1668 111 0
CDI 0 9 26 157 2359 8107 4703 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 6 217 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 290 8155 1023 285 74 1 0 0
OW 0 509 244 203 27 6 0 0
VODI 0 282 236 536 263 44 0 0
ODI 0 67 73 454 1772 1589 74 0
CDI 0 15 29 183 2496 8181 4690 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1 267 0

Date: 2022-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 549 8045 1582 704 35 0 0 0
OW 1 358 197 165 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 195 221 563 199 10 0 0
ODI 0 19 48 354 1691 677 1 0
CDI 0 0 6 85 2096 8959 1648 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 427 3230 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 549 7537 1445 633 38 0 0 0
OW 1 509 214 191 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 412 228 395 226 44 0 0
ODI 0 139 117 442 1647 1793 177 0
CDI 0 20 50 210 2042 8220 4686 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 16 16 0

Date: 2022-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 697 9087 1144 455 26 0 0 0
OW 0 314 173 158 24 3 0 0
VODI 0 198 209 467 289 25 0 0
ODI 0 26 79 281 1513 786 8 0
CDI 0 0 21 156 1711 9057 2043 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 663 2461 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 697 8532 987 406 26 1 0 0
OW 0 487 172 124 16 9 0 0
VODI 0 458 227 332 194 86 0 0
ODI 0 120 169 402 1531 2356 95 0
CDI 0 28 71 253 1704 8070 4374 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 98 12 43 0

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1269 9050 1253 115 26 2 0 0
OW 1 441 246 117 46 5 0 0
VODI 0 172 216 466 276 37 0 0
ODI 0 23 99 447 1578 814 11 0
CDI 0 0 7 148 2460 9343 820 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 2118 425 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1269 8524 1023 89 27 3 0 0
OW 1 543 180 82 11 7 0 0
VODI 0 506 324 264 215 107 0 0
ODI 0 108 227 575 1958 2459 79 0
CDI 0 5 67 283 2162 9633 1137 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 64 110 40 0


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