Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74582 19347 1453 829 47 0 0 0
OW 6 92 209 377 158 9 0 0
VODI 0 69 64 366 444 148 0 0
ODI 0 23 16 127 483 457 13 0
CDI 0 0 15 186 581 2946 88 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 217 4912 826 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73693 19611 2155 808 78 1 0 0
OW 6 148 165 397 195 15 0 0
VODI 0 78 81 340 415 188 0 0
ODI 0 7 16 158 406 592 16 0
CDI 0 6 33 206 835 2587 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 156 4625 1020 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74395 19078 2489 646 74 0 0 0
OW 4 103 140 380 116 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 47 408 351 23 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 216 782 284 3 0
CDI 0 1 28 165 971 3141 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 119 4117 752 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67703 24415 3429 1262 77 0 0 0
OW 4 86 202 413 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 50 469 369 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 185 640 446 0 0
CDI 0 0 11 185 1019 3183 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 132 3130 1412 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67703 24430 3462 1293 80 0 0 0
OW 4 78 170 447 87 2 0 0
VODI 0 37 43 443 420 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 135 565 489 1 0
CDI 0 0 12 194 1040 3261 118 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 125 3006 1399 0

Date: 2022-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75014 17901 3666 448 97 1 0 0
OW 2 218 218 263 78 4 0 0
VODI 0 58 114 424 325 64 1 0
ODI 0 1 28 229 577 437 16 0
CDI 0 0 9 203 1261 2921 260 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 237 3868 152 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75014 17938 3706 459 98 1 0 0
OW 2 192 192 321 95 5 0 0
VODI 0 45 93 410 369 72 1 0
ODI 0 3 30 165 517 451 16 0
CDI 0 0 14 210 1301 3047 272 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 195 3719 140 0

Date: 2022-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76243 18858 2143 483 65 0 0 0
OW 1 101 153 313 69 3 0 0
VODI 0 25 32 488 341 34 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 182 879 409 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 96 1688 3117 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 228 2960 154 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76244 18693 2087 468 90 0 0 0
OW 0 191 144 320 129 3 0 0
VODI 0 66 68 416 370 107 0 0
ODI 0 28 13 132 511 344 0 0
CDI 0 7 26 220 1778 2650 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 392 3419 112 0

Date: 2022-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72692 22802 1639 1059 63 0 0 0
OW 0 42 93 418 93 4 0 0
VODI 0 7 17 367 457 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 170 869 252 3 0
CDI 0 0 14 115 2578 2853 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 411 1997 32 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72692 22627 1568 1060 85 1 0 0
OW 0 118 99 345 144 6 0 0
VODI 0 55 40 343 492 41 0 0
ODI 0 36 19 114 493 211 3 0
CDI 0 15 45 263 2654 2657 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 603 2216 27 0

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73975 19678 3942 889 59 0 0 0
OW 0 120 127 319 108 7 0 0
VODI 0 32 41 324 399 54 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 166 723 263 5 0
CDI 0 0 14 153 1971 4031 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 144 1476 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73975 19499 3814 858 85 0 0 0
OW 0 148 161 329 143 6 0 0
VODI 0 86 66 279 418 58 0 0
ODI 0 51 33 126 444 181 6 0
CDI 0 48 64 259 2042 3993 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 272 1593 8 0


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