Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 142 4866 1079 559 53 2 0 0
OW 0 195 304 659 273 46 0 0
VODI 0 110 181 688 518 124 4 0
ODI 0 55 46 404 1009 316 12 0
CDI 0 21 24 247 2447 8336 731 0
VCDI 0 4 13 19 493 4918 3184 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82 5555 854 482 78 6 0 0
OW 2 250 312 590 249 52 0 0
VODI 0 110 241 642 486 108 4 0
ODI 0 40 67 447 898 282 12 0
CDI 0 15 34 285 3260 9055 1638 0
VCDI 0 3 1 6 206 3122 2608 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116 6027 965 729 71 19 0 0
OW 2 166 257 596 181 28 0 0
VODI 0 46 123 858 634 43 1 0
ODI 0 3 12 359 1536 346 0 0
CDI 0 1 15 159 3748 8550 1522 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 75 2993 1901 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1232 4619 1464 793 85 3 0 0
OW 2 212 269 656 232 24 0 0
VODI 0 54 178 820 519 120 0 0
ODI 0 0 34 331 942 968 3 0
CDI 0 1 14 218 3378 9874 1580 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 55 2495 903 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1232 4641 1481 847 125 5 0 0
OW 2 177 260 577 209 20 0 0
VODI 0 66 169 818 465 115 0 0
ODI 0 1 37 363 1070 971 2 0
CDI 0 2 12 216 3277 9667 1554 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 2706 930 0

Date: 2022-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 341 6335 1059 675 51 2 0 0
OW 2 274 348 670 150 12 0 0
VODI 0 80 260 828 425 48 0 0
ODI 0 4 51 359 1439 642 5 0
CDI 0 1 5 309 3633 9806 2079 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 257 1638 294 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 341 6380 1080 721 91 2 0 0
OW 2 207 313 614 109 16 0 0
VODI 0 100 267 814 405 49 0 0
ODI 0 6 58 383 1620 702 12 0
CDI 0 1 5 309 3439 9824 2010 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 291 1555 356 0

Date: 2022-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 418 6667 1232 521 26 0 0 0
OW 0 354 386 528 67 5 0 0
VODI 0 51 219 807 362 25 0 0
ODI 0 4 23 396 2327 641 0 0
CDI 0 0 13 110 2888 11255 1200 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 11 565 980 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 418 6600 1197 542 61 4 0 0
OW 0 317 345 544 90 11 0 0
VODI 0 149 227 640 395 75 0 0
ODI 0 10 80 388 1598 1100 22 0
CDI 0 1 24 248 3118 10235 2036 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 419 1066 122 0

Date: 2022-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1738 6461 608 413 34 0 0 0
OW 1 309 364 401 87 8 0 0
VODI 0 75 221 754 317 29 0 0
ODI 0 24 52 473 2260 960 17 0
CDI 0 2 20 116 3321 9755 2404 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 112 693 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1738 6167 596 448 83 3 0 0
OW 1 429 303 396 69 9 0 0
VODI 0 216 228 578 360 58 0 0
ODI 0 48 109 488 1576 1253 88 0
CDI 0 11 29 247 3906 8910 2842 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 631 184 0

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1573 6760 780 280 43 2 0 0
OW 0 509 318 314 53 4 0 0
VODI 0 230 240 653 301 36 0 0
ODI 0 43 85 445 1935 1526 54 0
CDI 0 10 27 133 2453 9233 3543 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 54 27 417 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1573 6502 805 286 73 2 0 0
OW 0 557 230 250 32 5 0 0
VODI 0 370 225 530 338 90 0 0
ODI 0 101 157 456 1378 1678 224 0
CDI 0 22 33 304 2951 8937 3539 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 116 251 0


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