Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 862 6617 2266 1429 177 65 0 0
OW 4 39 122 748 256 87 4 0
VODI 0 54 114 760 715 306 12 0
ODI 0 58 70 495 965 330 44 0
CDI 0 50 178 410 3946 2993 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 1849 17570 2144 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 701 7010 2569 1400 217 37 1 0
OW 0 73 147 854 350 45 1 0
VODI 0 81 139 811 941 124 1 0
ODI 0 37 76 361 726 238 5 0
CDI 0 66 152 439 4035 2993 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 1247 14798 5107 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 742 8145 1924 1218 285 15 0 0
OW 3 64 214 707 264 38 0 0
VODI 0 76 111 1086 809 146 0 0
ODI 0 50 98 527 1339 297 9 0
CDI 0 36 52 144 3253 4453 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 913 14347 4447 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2666 6713 1784 1116 266 37 0 0
OW 2 108 238 880 339 8 0 0
VODI 0 48 92 1081 840 11 0 0
ODI 0 59 101 367 1090 427 2 0
CDI 0 62 54 198 3217 4608 210 0
VCDI 0 7 15 27 896 9077 9002 218
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2666 6718 1777 1116 291 23 0 0
OW 2 92 241 824 261 24 0 0
VODI 0 57 96 1114 913 15 0 0
ODI 0 67 100 407 1134 332 5 0
CDI 0 63 66 180 3052 4517 228 0
VCDI 0 0 4 28 997 9257 8981 218

Date: 2022-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1175 8131 2137 1285 316 24 0 0
OW 6 69 192 971 443 12 0 0
VODI 2 56 67 940 562 15 0 0
ODI 0 52 62 345 1028 405 5 0
CDI 0 81 74 257 2522 6168 516 0
VCDI 0 2 2 48 1017 11737 5142 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1176 8096 2117 1294 365 26 0 0
OW 5 99 203 909 360 10 0 0
VODI 2 53 77 986 638 15 0 0
ODI 0 63 66 347 996 382 7 0
CDI 0 78 69 226 2461 6330 514 0
VCDI 0 2 2 84 1068 11598 5142 0

Date: 2022-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1258 8270 2472 1494 327 10 0 0
OW 4 115 172 768 301 1 0 0
VODI 0 79 131 1228 524 2 0 0
ODI 0 63 64 428 2503 293 1 0
CDI 0 1 25 70 3755 5622 127 0
VCDI 0 4 0 3 560 10136 5055 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1261 8096 2409 1550 469 11 0 0
OW 1 109 175 844 307 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 85 888 379 18 0 0
ODI 0 150 128 455 1084 297 19 0
CDI 0 45 67 247 4320 5002 108 0
VCDI 0 4 0 7 1411 10736 5056 0

Date: 2022-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2439 8028 2087 1672 402 15 0 0
OW 1 133 173 819 158 9 0 0
VODI 0 78 92 1077 643 15 0 0
ODI 0 71 45 386 2204 442 2 0
CDI 0 8 19 148 3139 5658 479 0
VCDI 0 4 0 3 844 6980 7593 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2439 7781 1927 1765 469 20 0 0
OW 1 168 192 657 162 4 0 0
VODI 0 143 132 815 313 56 0 0
ODI 0 142 121 499 1173 315 8 0
CDI 0 84 44 361 3951 4980 363 0
VCDI 0 4 0 8 1322 7744 7703 0

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2838 7307 2344 2093 517 13 0 0
OW 0 148 244 789 111 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 109 1098 486 7 0 0
ODI 0 56 68 458 1871 588 3 0
CDI 0 5 9 235 3254 5539 561 0
VCDI 0 4 1 5 845 9181 4974 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2838 6998 2191 2197 561 13 0 0
OW 0 184 195 442 70 1 0 0
VODI 0 196 185 751 265 63 15 0
ODI 0 160 144 659 924 360 44 0
CDI 0 83 58 608 3938 5066 390 0
VCDI 0 4 2 21 1326 9825 5089 0


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