Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-07-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75586 30830 4798 2817 277 67 0 0
OW 10 326 635 1784 687 142 4 0
VODI 0 233 359 1814 1677 578 16 0
ODI 0 136 132 1026 2457 1103 69 0
CDI 0 71 217 843 6974 14275 925 0
VCDI 0 4 13 50 2559 27400 6154 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74476 32176 5578 2690 373 44 1 0
OW 8 471 624 1841 794 112 1 0
VODI 0 269 461 1793 1842 420 5 0
ODI 0 84 159 966 2030 1112 33 0
CDI 0 87 219 930 8130 14635 1764 0
VCDI 0 3 1 27 1609 22545 8735 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75253 33250 5378 2593 430 34 0 0
OW 9 333 611 1683 561 66 0 0
VODI 0 172 281 2352 1794 212 1 0
ODI 0 54 115 1102 3657 927 12 0
CDI 0 38 95 468 7972 16144 1772 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 1107 21457 7100 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71601 35747 6677 3171 428 40 0 0
OW 8 406 709 1949 651 32 0 0
VODI 0 146 320 2370 1728 167 0 0
ODI 0 59 139 883 2672 1841 5 0
CDI 0 63 79 601 7614 17665 1896 0
VCDI 0 8 15 38 1083 14702 11317 218
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71601 35789 6720 3256 496 28 0 0
OW 8 347 671 1848 557 46 0 0
VODI 0 160 308 2375 1798 167 0 0
ODI 0 68 146 905 2769 1792 8 0
CDI 0 65 90 590 7369 17445 1900 0
VCDI 0 0 4 38 1187 14969 11310 218

Date: 2022-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76530 32367 6862 2408 464 27 0 0
OW 10 561 758 1904 671 28 0 0
VODI 2 194 441 2192 1312 127 1 0
ODI 0 57 141 933 3044 1484 26 0
CDI 0 82 88 769 7416 18895 2855 0
VCDI 0 2 2 53 1511 17243 5588 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76531 32414 6903 2474 554 29 0 0
OW 9 498 708 1844 564 31 0 0
VODI 2 198 437 2210 1412 136 1 0
ODI 0 72 154 895 3133 1535 35 0
CDI 0 79 88 745 7201 19201 2796 0
VCDI 0 2 2 91 1554 16872 5638 0

Date: 2022-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77919 33795 5847 2498 418 10 0 0
OW 5 570 711 1609 437 9 0 0
VODI 0 155 382 2523 1227 61 0 0
ODI 0 68 91 1006 5709 1343 1 0
CDI 0 1 44 276 8331 19994 1351 0
VCDI 0 5 0 3 799 13661 6189 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77923 33389 5693 2560 620 15 0 0
OW 1 617 664 1708 526 14 0 0
VODI 0 343 380 1944 1144 200 0 0
ODI 0 188 221 975 3193 1741 41 0
CDI 0 53 117 715 9216 17887 2210 0
VCDI 0 4 0 13 2222 15221 5290 0

Date: 2022-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76869 37291 4334 3144 499 15 0 0
OW 2 484 630 1638 338 21 0 0
VODI 0 160 330 2198 1417 70 0 0
ODI 0 95 105 1029 5333 1654 22 0
CDI 0 10 53 379 9038 18266 2902 0
VCDI 0 4 0 3 1308 9089 8318 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76869 36575 4091 3273 637 24 0 0
OW 2 715 594 1398 375 19 0 0
VODI 0 414 400 1736 1165 155 0 0
ODI 0 226 249 1101 3242 1779 99 0
CDI 0 110 118 871 10511 16547 3229 0
VCDI 0 4 0 12 2003 10591 7914 0

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78386 33745 7066 3262 619 15 0 0
OW 0 777 689 1422 272 11 0 0
VODI 0 367 390 2075 1186 97 0 0
ODI 0 101 167 1069 4529 2377 62 0
CDI 0 15 50 521 7678 18803 4168 0
VCDI 0 4 1 6 1043 10684 5391 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78386 32999 6810 3341 719 15 0 0
OW 0 889 586 1021 245 12 0 0
VODI 0 652 476 1560 1021 211 15 0
ODI 0 312 334 1241 2746 2219 274 0
CDI 0 153 155 1171 8931 17996 3984 0
VCDI 0 4 2 21 1665 11534 5348 0


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