Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73325 18327 2654 957 82 2 0 0
OW 9 127 128 527 216 7 0 0
VODI 0 65 55 492 458 196 0 0
ODI 0 31 19 205 470 662 32 0
CDI 0 45 23 187 694 1066 97 0
VCDI 0 0 4 36 168 5559 2175 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64195 25634 4415 1237 97 2 0 0
OW 9 101 158 523 215 28 0 0
VODI 0 55 89 434 523 252 0 0
ODI 0 32 23 173 393 555 39 0
CDI 0 24 22 240 881 997 49 0
VCDI 0 0 1 25 185 5811 1683 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69464 23659 2204 640 22 1 0 0
OW 7 96 217 403 86 4 0 0
VODI 0 58 87 465 360 82 0 0
ODI 0 28 26 225 537 425 1 0
CDI 0 9 13 130 555 2414 159 0
VCDI 0 0 2 15 117 4421 2168 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73913 19383 2284 599 40 0 0 0
OW 6 121 181 381 111 12 0 0
VODI 0 66 74 367 394 170 5 0
ODI 0 20 23 120 452 486 7 0
CDI 0 1 15 163 529 2980 153 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 207 4945 876 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73913 19385 2291 654 55 1 0 0
OW 6 120 165 336 131 36 0 0
VODI 0 67 83 376 391 196 3 0
ODI 0 18 23 104 419 437 17 0
CDI 0 1 15 160 539 2997 159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 198 4926 862 0

Date: 2022-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74564 18847 2248 578 49 0 0 0
OW 6 102 195 407 176 13 0 0
VODI 0 71 81 377 432 143 0 0
ODI 0 12 15 139 484 501 14 0
CDI 0 0 21 206 718 2704 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 398 4650 888 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74564 18858 2267 651 85 0 0 0
OW 6 99 171 353 188 40 0 0
VODI 0 63 86 381 433 165 3 0
ODI 0 12 14 119 439 362 9 0
CDI 0 0 22 203 719 2963 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 393 4481 889 0

Date: 2022-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74830 19139 1838 605 57 0 0 0
OW 5 109 172 390 127 3 0 0
VODI 0 55 47 382 339 39 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 177 728 346 8 0
CDI 0 2 30 172 942 3335 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 58 3430 1674 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74829 19090 1841 716 160 4 0 0
OW 6 117 136 351 220 53 0 0
VODI 0 80 59 283 440 210 7 0
ODI 0 13 19 127 335 455 16 0
CDI 0 6 43 248 969 2778 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 127 3653 1674 0

Date: 2022-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72416 20178 3248 857 80 0 0 0
OW 4 84 145 413 135 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 48 426 373 23 1 0
ODI 0 0 8 199 785 277 9 0
CDI 0 3 24 181 1095 3087 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 115 3607 1064 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72416 20101 3201 996 186 0 0 0
OW 4 128 165 370 245 9 0 0
VODI 0 66 57 334 444 105 0 0
ODI 0 16 11 139 467 333 9 0
CDI 0 8 39 235 1088 2943 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 153 3604 1056 0

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70088 21819 3730 1276 79 0 0 0
OW 2 189 207 315 78 1 0 0
VODI 0 50 84 490 323 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 256 649 360 2 0
CDI 0 0 27 169 1004 3015 262 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 181 3559 837 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70086 21779 3706 1366 151 14 0 0
OW 4 220 186 300 201 49 2 0
VODI 0 56 105 387 265 71 0 0
ODI 0 3 28 191 384 333 0 0
CDI 0 0 31 261 1113 3154 343 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 200 3350 756 0


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