Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 5165 1905 1567 247 55 2 0
OW 0 55 153 909 401 59 20 0
VODI 0 19 57 756 855 215 26 0
ODI 0 10 32 374 1005 544 50 0
CDI 0 30 68 428 2380 2001 345 0
VCDI 0 2 19 163 4701 15778 5378 39
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 727 5351 1750 1396 246 76 0 0
OW 0 35 255 1154 277 79 14 0
VODI 0 10 85 714 562 277 40 0
ODI 0 4 57 404 848 459 88 0
CDI 0 54 88 597 2694 1946 192 0
VCDI 0 2 9 125 3742 15190 6286 33
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 779 5656 2326 1527 157 60 0 0
OW 0 17 150 1052 159 41 0 0
VODI 0 15 54 703 611 144 1 0
ODI 0 30 64 599 1281 570 11 0
CDI 0 43 92 461 3565 3144 43 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 1887 16235 4374 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 839 6365 2102 1683 198 53 0 0
OW 0 41 110 770 247 61 0 0
VODI 0 27 113 694 670 249 2 0
ODI 0 38 65 439 1188 393 22 0
CDI 0 48 129 472 3781 3224 98 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 2576 16523 2641 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 839 6375 2106 1773 189 67 0 0
OW 0 32 98 653 235 32 0 0
VODI 0 24 112 709 679 191 2 0
ODI 0 42 76 461 1180 445 21 0
CDI 0 46 127 460 3726 3235 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 2651 16533 2641 0

Date: 2022-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 794 6420 2835 1365 167 57 0 0
OW 0 49 165 762 318 26 0 0
VODI 0 78 136 996 800 172 0 0
ODI 0 50 82 478 737 277 14 0
CDI 0 53 158 475 3745 3155 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 1646 16745 3010 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 794 6431 2816 1460 177 65 0 0
OW 0 28 150 665 228 18 0 0
VODI 0 82 159 939 822 143 3 0
ODI 0 57 96 551 782 275 11 0
CDI 0 52 155 461 3696 3090 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 1708 16841 3010 0

Date: 2022-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 253 7924 2391 1315 191 28 0 0
OW 0 52 223 565 200 15 0 0
VODI 0 100 149 1161 744 34 0 0
ODI 0 59 122 644 1621 364 5 0
CDI 0 27 42 179 3589 3934 32 0
VCDI 0 0 2 4 1420 13423 5054 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 253 7872 2353 1464 218 34 0 0
OW 0 75 184 679 388 26 0 0
VODI 0 98 169 806 883 139 1 0
ODI 0 39 52 371 652 284 6 0
CDI 0 78 169 525 3749 3324 41 0
VCDI 0 0 2 23 1875 13991 5043 0

Date: 2022-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1122 7902 1848 1302 287 26 0 0
OW 2 112 204 778 345 14 0 0
VODI 0 50 79 1092 871 73 0 0
ODI 0 35 90 434 1359 195 4 0
CDI 0 49 67 173 3282 4550 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 563 10810 8078 2
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1121 7861 1734 1502 413 37 0 0
OW 3 109 228 677 483 33 0 0
VODI 0 57 127 792 726 63 0 0
ODI 0 30 30 295 697 108 0 0
CDI 0 74 137 496 3460 3757 65 0
VCDI 0 17 32 24 928 11670 8078 2

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1427 6780 2578 1645 317 24 0 0
OW 2 75 201 942 434 7 0 0
VODI 0 51 94 961 706 40 0 0
ODI 0 46 69 359 1130 379 4 0
CDI 0 60 31 196 3036 4852 351 0
VCDI 0 17 25 54 1082 12092 5758 41
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1427 6710 2473 2015 568 35 0 0
OW 2 102 223 610 401 16 0 0
VODI 0 62 117 694 477 124 0 0
ODI 0 31 46 301 580 340 11 0
CDI 0 106 111 452 3155 3778 275 0
VCDI 0 18 28 85 1524 13101 5827 41


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