Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 3265 519 285 64 8 6 0
OW 0 403 345 516 132 42 27 0
VODI 0 190 244 510 306 162 97 0
ODI 0 100 53 344 512 557 265 0
CDI 0 65 127 278 801 1835 688 0
VCDI 0 0 3 26 352 5586 13220 141
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66 3617 411 332 80 16 10 0
OW 0 452 321 313 129 66 32 0
VODI 0 181 239 446 286 215 100 0
ODI 0 79 75 397 560 533 195 0
CDI 0 47 134 381 1013 2426 821 0
VCDI 0 0 10 48 279 6085 11549 138
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 186 3978 735 375 75 17 2 0
OW 0 153 293 327 82 56 7 0
VODI 0 59 209 653 376 113 5 0
ODI 0 25 75 343 804 544 54 0
CDI 0 24 50 227 996 3713 1396 0
VCDI 0 0 3 33 167 5199 10330 398
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122 3885 1068 335 72 28 0 0
OW 1 165 290 442 119 61 0 0
VODI 0 81 194 626 412 210 2 0
ODI 0 31 73 339 730 549 25 0
CDI 0 48 53 246 1451 4796 1504 0
VCDI 0 2 11 27 215 4701 9025 143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122 3896 1106 411 93 51 0 0
OW 1 164 266 399 119 63 0 0
VODI 0 75 183 610 404 202 1 0
ODI 0 30 68 311 721 526 25 0
CDI 0 45 57 258 1443 4677 1532 0
VCDI 0 2 9 26 219 4826 8998 143

Date: 2022-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122 4361 699 430 69 36 0 0
OW 0 179 267 508 147 71 0 0
VODI 0 83 184 629 444 220 2 0
ODI 0 32 82 338 683 552 17 0
CDI 0 50 57 294 1675 6010 1198 0
VCDI 0 1 10 22 210 4469 7719 212
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122 4361 743 516 89 59 0 0
OW 0 188 241 455 135 73 0 0
VODI 0 72 163 614 484 194 2 0
ODI 0 34 73 321 656 587 22 0
CDI 0 50 68 292 1650 5982 1203 0
VCDI 0 1 11 23 214 4463 7709 212

Date: 2022-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3792 1454 694 88 2 0 0
OW 0 111 345 465 103 18 0 0
VODI 0 19 161 943 632 56 0 0
ODI 0 12 74 417 1212 389 4 0
CDI 0 9 26 127 1482 6895 1249 0
VCDI 0 1 3 9 109 3178 8002 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3721 1419 802 153 17 0 0
OW 0 146 245 527 254 40 0 0
VODI 0 41 192 594 561 121 0 0
ODI 0 17 86 355 729 453 13 0
CDI 0 18 113 359 1591 6270 2277 0
VCDI 0 1 8 18 338 3637 6965 1

Date: 2022-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111 4809 921 454 48 3 0 0
OW 0 160 330 651 158 22 0 0
VODI 0 63 167 793 603 105 1 0
ODI 0 49 51 390 940 518 10 0
CDI 0 9 27 165 2195 7087 564 0
VCDI 0 1 6 17 446 4815 5393 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111 4620 885 573 124 15 0 0
OW 0 213 216 516 255 44 0 0
VODI 0 126 249 591 422 195 0 0
ODI 0 62 56 390 699 452 17 0
CDI 0 69 88 380 2486 7443 1973 0
VCDI 0 1 8 20 404 4401 3978 0

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 142 4866 1079 559 53 2 0 0
OW 0 195 304 659 273 46 0 0
VODI 0 110 181 688 518 124 4 0
ODI 0 55 46 404 1009 316 12 0
CDI 0 21 24 247 2447 8336 731 0
VCDI 0 4 13 19 493 4918 3184 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 142 4727 937 673 155 13 0 0
OW 0 215 274 394 248 69 0 0
VODI 0 134 274 554 501 198 4 0
ODI 0 67 76 432 584 442 42 0
CDI 0 101 71 498 2809 9194 1525 0
VCDI 0 7 15 25 496 3826 2360 0


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