Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 4247 1511 1309 197 19 7 0
OW 0 117 96 604 453 48 17 0
VODI 0 49 47 497 1394 369 48 0
ODI 0 29 49 134 434 450 168 0
CDI 0 31 112 368 1368 1169 658 0
VCDI 0 28 26 213 5350 8265 11212 4745
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 304 4803 970 1349 288 52 14 0
OW 0 98 82 558 889 166 18 0
VODI 0 59 63 361 1093 478 62 0
ODI 0 44 48 155 401 357 159 0
CDI 0 59 92 512 1586 1301 373 0
VCDI 0 28 49 285 10372 8302 9574 462
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 437 4933 1286 1319 236 67 0 0
OW 2 49 93 694 249 78 12 0
VODI 0 23 30 670 757 174 21 0
ODI 0 21 35 505 1157 518 56 0
CDI 0 33 66 470 1868 2662 370 0
VCDI 0 5 22 110 10394 10372 6072 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 250 4762 2117 1307 207 61 2 0
OW 3 59 111 959 340 53 17 0
VODI 0 25 49 728 947 216 22 0
ODI 0 13 48 358 1008 578 48 0
CDI 0 28 63 449 2483 1830 464 0
VCDI 0 2 18 121 7808 13738 4523 51
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 250 4772 2123 1610 246 63 7 0
OW 3 46 108 687 343 31 15 0
VODI 0 25 45 641 903 216 20 0
ODI 0 20 53 403 914 543 58 0
CDI 0 24 59 468 2535 1940 454 0
VCDI 0 2 18 113 7852 13683 4522 51

Date: 2022-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136 5128 2358 1352 242 67 0 0
OW 0 30 190 1154 268 73 7 0
VODI 0 9 75 782 652 266 8 0
ODI 0 5 35 411 791 638 20 0
CDI 0 35 86 490 2189 2276 326 0
VCDI 0 3 14 131 3398 16029 6192 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 136 5130 2423 1756 275 76 0 0
OW 0 28 119 882 253 66 5 0
VODI 0 9 80 625 623 223 10 0
ODI 0 9 34 447 752 655 28 0
CDI 0 31 89 480 2181 2242 309 0
VCDI 0 3 13 130 3456 16087 6201 0

Date: 2022-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 745 5316 2138 1592 161 61 0 0
OW 0 24 177 1111 113 42 5 0
VODI 0 13 56 741 582 108 11 0
ODI 0 24 81 553 1319 673 57 0
CDI 0 39 94 400 3521 3025 135 0
VCDI 0 2 0 6 2269 16229 4443 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 745 5301 2063 1808 212 99 2 0
OW 0 28 153 912 244 51 11 0
VODI 0 18 129 540 491 290 11 0
ODI 0 16 60 490 824 546 90 0
CDI 0 52 137 600 2643 2131 94 0
VCDI 0 3 4 53 3551 17021 4443 0

Date: 2022-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 988 6180 1985 1521 185 67 0 0
OW 5 18 153 877 191 38 2 0
VODI 0 17 94 709 637 186 3 0
ODI 0 35 81 505 1332 395 7 0
CDI 0 50 87 519 4015 2763 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 4137 14842 3053 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 988 6078 1803 1589 262 94 0 0
OW 5 81 232 690 280 51 3 0
VODI 0 41 136 518 606 274 3 0
ODI 0 17 77 559 899 280 4 0
CDI 0 83 152 715 3513 2087 171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 79 4937 15505 3054 0

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 862 6617 2266 1429 177 65 0 0
OW 4 39 122 748 256 87 4 0
VODI 0 54 114 760 715 306 12 0
ODI 0 58 70 495 965 330 44 0
CDI 0 50 178 410 3946 2993 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 1849 17570 2144 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 862 6505 2110 1525 282 110 0 0
OW 4 125 206 484 257 98 4 0
VODI 0 31 99 626 609 393 24 0
ODI 0 46 65 558 707 149 32 0
CDI 0 111 270 649 3590 2540 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 2463 18061 2144 0


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