Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63560 32526 7006 2430 394 46 13 0
OW 14 631 550 1600 811 106 44 0
VODI 0 334 304 1352 2214 664 156 0
ODI 0 219 113 689 1428 1582 481 0
CDI 0 261 306 832 2605 4205 1758 0
VCDI 0 28 35 290 5852 14675 31552 5382
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68662 30470 4926 2426 525 68 24 0
OW 13 659 523 1346 1297 254 50 0
VODI 0 340 324 1219 1839 799 179 0
ODI 0 215 133 759 1539 1247 413 0
CDI 0 268 295 1098 3158 4915 1364 0
VCDI 0 28 59 359 10751 15094 28572 838
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66596 31176 6843 3519 455 85 2 0
OW 12 290 492 1509 560 137 19 0
VODI 0 166 266 1810 1643 334 28 0
ODI 0 94 129 1047 2754 1538 118 0
CDI 0 126 158 800 3458 7755 1818 0
VCDI 0 5 28 165 10698 17538 22468 409
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69657 28824 7717 2783 384 91 2 0
OW 12 332 540 1874 725 124 17 0
VODI 0 168 297 1836 1776 612 35 0
ODI 0 79 144 899 2206 1764 200 0
CDI 0 130 148 836 4547 7618 2185 0
VCDI 0 5 33 185 8201 22449 17419 194
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69657 28851 7786 3225 478 116 7 0
OW 12 311 487 1478 708 109 15 0
VODI 0 164 283 1772 1722 605 38 0
ODI 0 84 143 897 2080 1678 218 0
CDI 0 124 149 864 4624 7635 2203 0
VCDI 0 4 31 177 8227 22515 17377 194

Date: 2022-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76941 24631 5829 2586 391 105 0 0
OW 9 303 604 2214 617 149 7 0
VODI 0 136 339 1900 1565 704 13 0
ODI 0 65 131 933 1922 1820 57 0
CDI 0 107 164 964 4581 9410 1601 0
VCDI 0 4 27 185 3746 26138 15938 212
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76941 24634 5954 3170 479 137 0 0
OW 9 305 499 1798 564 158 5 0
VODI 0 128 314 1726 1585 640 15 0
ODI 0 66 121 954 1820 1852 68 0
CDI 0 109 179 950 4600 9392 1604 0
VCDI 0 4 27 184 3774 26147 15924 212

Date: 2022-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64849 34833 8102 3561 334 65 0 0
OW 9 214 720 2071 325 62 5 0
VODI 0 69 275 2219 1573 239 12 0
ODI 0 56 177 1221 3196 1501 71 0
CDI 0 64 133 682 5632 11845 1465 0
VCDI 0 3 4 37 2458 24113 14852 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64849 34649 8003 4063 514 120 2 0
OW 9 301 544 1870 645 148 12 0
VODI 0 116 403 1566 1583 711 11 0
ODI 0 63 170 1001 1834 1489 119 0
CDI 0 106 278 1183 4939 9704 2405 0
VCDI 0 4 13 108 4003 25653 13856 1

Date: 2022-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69537 35196 5701 2628 266 70 0 0
OW 12 291 705 1905 439 68 2 0
VODI 0 131 352 1913 1621 413 4 0
ODI 0 109 145 1072 2751 1356 20 0
CDI 0 64 127 819 6755 12651 940 0
VCDI 0 1 7 57 4680 24263 9977 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69537 34794 5444 2902 453 117 0 0
OW 12 471 671 1531 720 162 3 0
VODI 0 244 481 1473 1448 779 6 0
ODI 0 112 169 1071 1826 1165 32 0
CDI 0 170 263 1286 6597 11750 2311 0
VCDI 0 1 9 131 5468 24848 8591 0

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75586 30830 4798 2817 277 67 0 0
OW 10 326 635 1784 687 142 4 0
VODI 0 233 359 1814 1677 578 16 0
ODI 0 136 132 1026 2457 1103 69 0
CDI 0 71 217 843 6974 14275 925 0
VCDI 0 4 13 50 2559 27400 6154 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75586 30480 4442 3116 613 133 0 0
OW 10 496 671 1198 795 239 4 0
VODI 0 230 478 1471 1438 884 33 0
ODI 0 161 179 1100 1526 951 90 0
CDI 0 226 369 1391 7089 14567 1702 0
VCDI 0 7 15 58 3170 26791 5339 0


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