Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 1637 588 227 27 10 31 0
OW 0 195 301 437 156 34 21 0
VODI 0 116 157 770 721 151 39 0
ODI 0 76 143 506 894 477 119 0
CDI 0 109 118 306 774 1767 2028 0
VCDI 0 9 12 160 775 5069 10241 2876
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1717 837 233 51 43 15 0
OW 0 245 355 553 251 88 7 0
VODI 0 127 191 714 542 160 18 0
ODI 0 124 106 534 750 423 92 0
CDI 0 142 116 343 874 1474 1939 0
VCDI 0 15 23 310 570 3631 10804 3663
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 2628 694 285 43 13 13 0
OW 0 139 310 583 168 21 35 0
VODI 0 135 220 819 491 128 35 0
ODI 0 80 64 341 667 694 88 0
CDI 0 41 69 267 566 1525 606 0
VCDI 0 5 9 142 412 4529 13665 1551
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 2877 779 220 35 13 3 0
OW 0 298 385 650 151 33 31 0
VODI 0 171 255 581 345 172 50 0
ODI 0 89 54 323 537 619 153 0
CDI 0 45 121 269 725 1621 706 0
VCDI 0 0 4 31 583 7321 10870 957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 2933 836 401 53 15 8 0
OW 0 264 341 491 135 45 27 0
VODI 0 151 224 542 330 173 57 0
ODI 0 78 67 337 557 573 202 0
CDI 0 54 128 272 732 1626 647 0
VCDI 0 0 2 31 569 7347 10872 957

Date: 2022-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 3274 635 366 74 15 6 0
OW 0 399 360 399 144 47 26 0
VODI 0 186 241 472 265 209 95 0
ODI 0 91 66 377 507 587 246 0
CDI 0 55 141 319 922 2108 827 0
VCDI 0 0 2 33 260 5324 12879 120
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 3409 754 486 114 18 7 0
OW 0 265 270 316 104 63 21 0
VODI 0 182 192 445 273 210 81 0
ODI 0 85 76 356 505 587 271 0
CDI 0 64 148 333 903 2073 903 0
VCDI 0 0 5 30 273 5339 12796 120

Date: 2022-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 164 3970 577 368 70 6 2 0
OW 0 253 283 256 101 36 12 0
VODI 0 84 245 632 336 111 17 0
ODI 0 8 91 400 761 600 53 0
CDI 0 5 64 250 990 3460 802 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 129 5237 10644 1044
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 164 3792 552 398 111 51 10 0
OW 0 292 226 242 95 80 18 0
VODI 0 150 195 441 309 250 74 0
ODI 0 58 92 383 523 547 234 0
CDI 0 28 195 424 1032 2970 634 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 317 5552 10560 1044

Date: 2022-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 185 3797 1043 318 65 21 0 0
OW 0 178 302 369 87 56 2 0
VODI 0 77 191 654 403 145 1 0
ODI 0 40 74 334 857 462 30 0
CDI 0 32 63 240 1323 4417 1329 0
VCDI 0 0 12 30 160 5173 9499 113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 185 3549 970 329 78 93 1 0
OW 0 220 232 321 105 107 2 0
VODI 0 141 185 531 364 299 23 0
ODI 0 102 110 334 695 432 79 0
CDI 0 102 167 368 1190 3504 1351 0
VCDI 0 10 21 62 463 5839 9405 113

Date: 2022-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 4359 740 399 80 32 0 0
OW 1 171 271 480 142 67 0 0
VODI 0 88 186 604 436 209 2 0
ODI 0 27 88 329 714 544 19 0
CDI 0 39 63 294 1534 5973 949 0
VCDI 0 1 7 25 185 4637 8379 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 4106 615 392 113 116 0 0
OW 1 213 216 344 112 153 3 0
VODI 0 139 216 592 409 302 15 0
ODI 0 99 131 333 608 501 44 0
CDI 0 126 163 423 1326 5383 1620 0
VCDI 0 2 14 47 523 5007 7667 0


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