Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3033 900 1307 256 12 0 0
OW 0 116 85 502 489 34 0 0
VODI 0 80 25 247 721 365 28 0
ODI 0 78 48 144 687 808 113 0
CDI 0 101 60 169 609 874 575 0
VCDI 0 59 64 335 893 5171 22494 4384
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3201 1024 1497 388 36 0 0
OW 0 117 59 347 547 179 6 0
VODI 0 75 31 155 566 846 40 0
ODI 0 68 21 125 505 696 97 0
CDI 0 140 77 174 346 1331 431 4
VCDI 0 25 39 514 1291 5163 19107 6598
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2452 2303 1655 286 4 0 0
OW 0 61 68 415 364 28 1 0
VODI 0 34 49 291 1117 132 16 0
ODI 0 32 34 153 1352 621 32 2
CDI 0 61 75 290 1031 1299 544 8
VCDI 0 27 34 245 3700 6699 15771 4580
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 3490 1840 1521 177 15 0 0
OW 0 99 90 518 344 38 14 0
VODI 0 68 39 401 1704 220 32 0
ODI 0 45 27 151 623 542 60 0
CDI 0 77 76 331 1073 1526 534 0
VCDI 0 20 34 290 3475 8194 11761 6394
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 3475 1827 1639 262 24 2 0
OW 0 106 96 401 310 34 14 0
VODI 0 76 45 376 1560 169 30 0
ODI 0 46 30 173 714 541 72 0
CDI 0 76 74 334 1085 1540 464 0
VCDI 0 20 34 289 3465 8227 11819 6394

Date: 2022-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 4619 1305 1362 175 33 10 0
OW 0 76 109 714 574 80 29 0
VODI 0 42 60 387 1258 404 76 0
ODI 0 28 48 130 359 502 143 0
CDI 0 33 109 396 1397 1372 594 0
VCDI 0 27 42 247 7019 8195 12308 1575
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 4604 1295 1508 302 50 13 0
OW 0 88 118 579 532 68 21 0
VODI 0 44 57 378 1121 371 69 0
ODI 0 25 56 127 420 541 150 0
CDI 0 39 105 396 1446 1347 563 0
VCDI 0 25 42 248 6961 8209 12344 1575

Date: 2022-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 433 4490 1355 1489 158 55 0 0
OW 2 56 103 441 236 25 7 0
VODI 0 13 36 780 706 72 22 0
ODI 0 10 30 377 1576 448 57 0
CDI 0 29 86 474 2258 2342 383 0
VCDI 0 2 23 416 11253 7779 7764 80
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 433 4448 1315 1835 472 81 2 0
OW 2 61 87 581 781 125 23 0
VODI 0 34 49 309 659 491 90 0
ODI 0 15 37 156 496 380 142 0
CDI 0 30 102 577 1617 1442 333 0
VCDI 0 12 43 519 12162 8202 7643 80

Date: 2022-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 164 5196 1611 1255 195 68 1 0
OW 2 41 100 901 271 64 16 0
VODI 0 17 34 819 897 167 21 0
ODI 0 7 44 318 1033 557 49 0
CDI 0 26 59 469 2365 1905 525 0
VCDI 0 6 22 82 7128 13674 5757 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 164 5117 1495 2026 406 133 14 0
OW 2 46 126 561 773 202 30 0
VODI 0 48 69 315 406 432 45 0
ODI 0 31 53 211 476 282 95 0
CDI 0 35 90 513 1871 1164 519 0
VCDI 0 16 37 218 7957 14222 5666 0

Date: 2022-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 5165 1905 1567 247 55 2 0
OW 0 55 153 909 401 59 20 0
VODI 0 19 57 756 855 215 26 0
ODI 0 10 32 374 1005 544 50 0
CDI 0 30 68 428 2380 2001 345 0
VCDI 0 2 19 163 4701 15778 5378 39
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53 5023 1797 2461 693 104 32 0
OW 0 62 155 317 560 224 26 0
VODI 0 74 90 331 311 343 29 0
ODI 0 48 50 212 423 265 27 0
CDI 0 50 91 579 2192 1258 362 0
VCDI 0 24 51 297 5410 16458 5345 39


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