Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68430 19903 2898 975 184 18 0 0
OW 27 182 120 413 262 39 3 0
VODI 0 110 48 303 559 135 23 0
ODI 0 74 54 190 560 389 230 0
CDI 0 62 103 353 956 1610 1263 0
VCDI 0 0 4 44 93 361 5978 2144
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63447 25790 2324 967 157 6 0 0
OW 24 206 139 418 236 35 3 0
VODI 0 93 72 383 441 192 57 0
ODI 0 82 50 164 391 322 340 0
CDI 0 59 91 323 836 1285 1754 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 74 159 4244 3904
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67352 22157 2379 930 52 5 0 0
OW 28 161 136 465 131 12 0 0
VODI 0 105 75 425 492 81 4 0
ODI 0 50 35 153 563 377 33 0
CDI 0 38 83 261 807 1481 929 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 89 296 5336 3556
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71930 18623 1755 892 53 12 8 0
OW 25 144 121 469 172 29 4 0
VODI 0 99 83 323 511 119 0 0
ODI 0 39 38 209 450 297 18 0
CDI 0 47 64 283 1073 1685 699 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 69 965 6630 1128
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71930 18639 1796 950 67 12 8 0
OW 25 135 92 430 172 39 4 0
VODI 0 89 73 311 476 122 0 0
ODI 0 39 34 214 499 295 21 0
CDI 0 50 66 272 1048 1662 672 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 66 977 6654 1128

Date: 2022-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66504 21434 3848 1620 164 40 2 0
OW 19 169 115 415 213 41 8 0
VODI 0 86 69 315 391 148 51 0
ODI 0 43 38 232 439 190 150 0
CDI 0 31 88 316 1354 1269 612 0
VCDI 0 0 8 34 129 1283 5619 1613
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66504 21470 3898 1690 201 46 4 0
OW 19 134 73 365 219 40 12 0
VODI 0 74 67 308 363 138 53 0
ODI 0 49 27 229 403 204 141 0
CDI 0 36 93 301 1383 1271 555 0
VCDI 0 0 8 39 121 1272 5677 1613

Date: 2022-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64429 24289 3942 1031 128 34 4 0
OW 17 126 174 387 125 4 0 0
VODI 0 41 61 534 368 87 4 0
ODI 0 23 28 276 814 377 53 0
CDI 0 17 73 188 996 1506 599 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 90 1382 6570 292
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64429 24190 3940 1157 236 46 4 0
OW 17 133 143 289 235 63 3 0
VODI 0 94 70 386 288 156 58 0
ODI 0 45 35 242 425 277 109 0
CDI 0 34 85 309 1097 1359 493 0
VCDI 0 0 5 64 240 1489 6563 292

Date: 2022-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74689 16933 1576 875 112 27 5 0
OW 15 115 117 458 184 11 0 0
VODI 0 91 38 391 469 128 3 0
ODI 0 64 27 217 640 494 21 0
CDI 0 83 64 183 771 1176 533 0
VCDI 0 0 0 55 241 1083 5820 1391
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74689 16752 1491 951 278 52 5 0
OW 15 197 147 250 223 86 0 0
VODI 0 138 80 371 259 162 11 0
ODI 0 102 37 213 494 365 8 0
CDI 0 97 67 329 929 1281 659 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 234 973 5699 1391

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63524 25014 4976 836 133 19 0 0
OW 14 111 109 480 226 16 0 0
VODI 0 95 13 345 514 133 11 0
ODI 0 90 11 211 482 575 48 0
CDI 0 165 67 186 436 1201 412 0
VCDI 0 0 6 51 150 824 7120 496
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63524 24742 4825 920 360 57 0 0
OW 14 258 150 262 168 84 3 0
VODI 0 163 105 284 299 137 24 0
ODI 0 119 31 236 443 433 23 0
CDI 0 193 70 374 582 1418 757 0
VCDI 0 0 1 33 89 639 6784 496


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