Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 991 695 1425 484 22 1 0
OW 0 137 81 442 428 51 0 0
VODI 0 134 48 258 449 169 8 0
ODI 0 114 35 149 454 461 42 0
CDI 0 119 83 252 742 1617 575 16
VCDI 0 84 57 193 425 5451 23800 5374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1028 1001 1572 572 65 0 0
OW 0 143 30 313 344 121 0 0
VODI 0 117 38 217 364 300 4 0
ODI 0 102 36 110 247 722 21 1
CDI 0 106 84 308 453 1635 893 34
VCDI 0 81 63 254 503 5447 24736 3801
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1372 1231 1508 527 19 0 0
OW 0 127 43 380 295 52 0 0
VODI 0 98 43 321 608 180 0 0
ODI 0 75 37 136 580 1135 14 0
CDI 0 67 80 264 377 1893 753 14
VCDI 0 39 56 256 660 5569 23199 3858
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1883 1215 1724 347 17 0 0
OW 0 110 63 505 336 41 0 0
VODI 0 77 43 286 875 131 3 0
ODI 0 72 59 133 1061 616 34 0
CDI 0 66 91 198 491 1401 639 0
VCDI 0 44 82 262 702 5471 20776 6012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1897 1226 1802 397 25 0 0
OW 0 98 53 434 290 39 0 0
VODI 0 77 43 275 849 103 4 0
ODI 0 69 57 127 952 569 31 0
CDI 0 63 93 204 618 1464 610 0
VCDI 0 48 81 266 706 5477 20807 6012

Date: 2022-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 3269 1002 1233 273 5 0 0
OW 6 115 87 491 527 66 4 0
VODI 0 79 27 222 722 483 46 0
ODI 0 71 37 142 657 649 127 0
CDI 0 116 53 166 410 955 639 0
VCDI 0 42 53 610 990 6170 19962 5330
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 3299 1017 1244 317 5 0 0
OW 6 96 77 500 496 85 5 0
VODI 0 75 27 201 700 513 33 0
ODI 0 55 28 122 639 493 118 0
CDI 0 124 59 195 434 1021 655 0
VCDI 0 43 51 602 993 6211 19967 5330

Date: 2022-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 3270 1302 1445 301 12 0 0
OW 2 75 61 451 264 36 0 0
VODI 0 51 29 287 718 63 10 0
ODI 0 44 29 147 2081 503 32 0
CDI 0 79 60 257 677 1458 591 0
VCDI 0 6 28 192 1197 6631 16009 7458
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 3135 1261 1529 473 61 1 0
OW 2 95 59 396 602 44 9 0
VODI 0 68 38 199 1129 173 49 0
ODI 0 48 27 120 873 310 73 0
CDI 0 154 73 191 722 1016 425 0
VCDI 0 25 51 344 1439 7099 16085 7458

Date: 2022-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 2663 1422 2435 345 14 0 0
OW 0 61 82 396 455 47 6 0
VODI 0 47 44 255 1578 192 24 0
ODI 0 36 29 125 851 563 50 0
CDI 0 67 77 309 1035 1415 684 0
VCDI 0 27 31 258 3213 7560 12424 7045
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 2532 1340 2434 674 50 5 0
OW 0 92 87 334 650 56 13 0
VODI 0 77 63 227 977 314 47 0
ODI 0 42 43 124 655 368 79 0
CDI 0 126 100 314 992 1026 528 0
VCDI 0 32 52 345 3529 7977 12516 7045

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 4247 1511 1309 197 19 7 0
OW 0 117 96 604 453 48 17 0
VODI 0 49 47 497 1394 369 48 0
ODI 0 29 49 134 434 450 168 0
CDI 0 31 112 368 1368 1169 658 0
VCDI 0 28 26 213 5350 8265 11212 4745
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 28 4037 1367 1460 594 68 17 0
OW 0 224 136 453 557 92 23 0
VODI 0 87 95 339 705 309 54 0
ODI 0 42 44 204 409 360 186 0
CDI 0 83 173 405 1263 817 569 0
VCDI 0 28 26 264 5668 8674 11261 4745


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