Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68437 21714 3714 2458 685 40 1 0
OW 27 507 335 1085 717 93 14 0
VODI 0 415 241 924 1209 386 44 0
ODI 0 375 200 732 1560 1304 370 0
CDI 0 532 348 1176 3510 5178 3090 16
VCDI 0 217 169 660 983 11460 43174 8948
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63466 27785 3458 2630 752 71 0 0
OW 24 579 323 991 639 157 4 0
VODI 0 456 274 955 1062 561 84 0
ODI 0 414 234 718 1335 1506 461 1
CDI 0 466 390 1382 2771 5284 3709 34
VCDI 0 169 118 635 1299 11962 40306 9583
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67352 24918 4317 2618 613 55 1 0
OW 28 440 447 1108 572 73 0 0
VODI 0 293 312 1318 1605 320 10 0
ODI 0 191 179 852 2565 2073 104 0
CDI 0 223 254 877 2366 5384 2776 14
VCDI 0 56 73 350 2144 12144 38560 9463
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71930 22075 3602 2805 440 38 38 0
OW 25 434 475 1344 641 93 23 0
VODI 0 291 276 1342 2060 418 27 0
ODI 0 168 220 824 2616 1397 147 0
CDI 0 237 272 751 2440 5035 3147 0
VCDI 0 50 99 427 1726 12191 37648 9276
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71930 22151 3746 3031 537 56 40 0
OW 25 392 362 1212 593 95 22 0
VODI 0 259 250 1243 1962 357 27 0
ODI 0 162 212 830 2535 1360 160 0
CDI 0 239 279 750 2577 5209 3171 0
VCDI 0 52 95 427 1719 12095 37610 9276

Date: 2022-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66537 26242 5697 3084 475 66 30 0
OW 25 516 536 1360 941 151 22 0
VODI 0 243 332 1318 1772 799 126 0
ODI 0 225 186 935 1880 1244 415 0
CDI 0 264 267 804 2556 3840 3222 0
VCDI 0 56 84 804 1705 11665 36514 10110
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66537 26427 5885 3262 576 81 35 0
OW 25 361 392 1347 936 168 26 0
VODI 0 215 298 1194 1697 824 125 0
ODI 0 192 166 876 1800 1055 396 0
CDI 0 294 277 824 2617 4024 3446 0
VCDI 0 57 84 802 1703 11613 36301 10110

Date: 2022-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64440 29871 6001 2742 470 58 16 0
OW 19 358 546 1304 487 70 24 0
VODI 0 227 320 1793 1634 266 40 0
ODI 0 152 133 815 3775 1522 150 0
CDI 0 138 202 689 2184 4621 1780 0
VCDI 0 6 33 303 1962 12938 34663 10296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64440 29483 5983 3118 794 132 45 0
OW 19 418 444 1164 1121 193 41 0
VODI 0 294 263 1198 1802 537 146 0
ODI 0 191 194 822 1878 1115 294 0
CDI 0 331 275 828 2491 4145 3873 0
VCDI 0 35 76 516 2426 13353 32274 10296

Date: 2022-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74691 22321 3723 3598 497 59 18 0
OW 15 372 554 1519 810 83 41 0
VODI 0 294 317 1336 2463 465 62 0
ODI 0 180 114 683 2094 1714 175 0
CDI 0 197 223 739 2451 4162 1854 0
VCDI 0 27 38 363 4138 14352 30469 9837
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74691 21771 3514 3873 1078 129 52 0
OW 15 560 473 1022 1046 221 53 0
VODI 0 403 389 1102 1508 702 140 0
ODI 0 242 238 827 1645 1345 209 0
CDI 0 373 281 934 2715 4460 4657 0
VCDI 0 42 74 480 4461 13978 27508 9837

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63560 32526 7006 2430 394 46 13 0
OW 14 631 550 1600 811 106 44 0
VODI 0 334 304 1352 2214 664 156 0
ODI 0 219 113 689 1428 1582 481 0
CDI 0 261 306 832 2605 4205 1758 0
VCDI 0 28 35 290 5852 14675 31552 5382
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63560 31811 6685 2807 1056 171 42 0
OW 14 879 548 986 873 246 99 0
VODI 0 536 471 1051 1217 618 256 0
ODI 0 288 181 914 1341 1476 465 0
CDI 0 455 372 1095 2640 4349 5024 0
VCDI 0 30 57 340 6177 14418 28118 5382


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