Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69394 18255 1660 1202 226 26 1 0
OW 50 150 208 507 209 55 2 0
VODI 0 68 136 484 495 174 43 0
ODI 0 19 78 284 591 276 189 0
CDI 0 8 107 361 1171 2232 531 0
VCDI 0 4 26 43 126 2021 6761 927
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65073 23176 1843 905 246 47 2 0
OW 42 236 232 384 250 83 18 0
VODI 0 115 162 404 391 170 83 0
ODI 0 71 77 238 591 242 187 0
CDI 0 51 114 388 1367 1854 708 0
VCDI 0 0 16 70 156 2035 6237 836
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68729 20017 2177 837 239 29 0 0
OW 50 161 168 397 171 28 8 0
VODI 0 79 91 430 396 120 17 0
ODI 0 43 69 233 602 434 84 0
CDI 0 22 105 325 994 1841 955 0
VCDI 0 0 7 59 162 1410 6437 1174
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71201 18212 1744 930 195 13 0 0
OW 35 183 123 403 265 32 0 0
VODI 0 110 47 334 521 141 5 0
ODI 0 72 56 195 599 473 89 0
CDI 0 64 108 333 923 2215 704 0
VCDI 0 0 4 57 130 496 6094 1994
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71191 18199 1772 1021 241 18 0 0
OW 45 183 90 334 247 30 0 0
VODI 0 119 51 293 470 130 5 0
ODI 0 77 51 191 566 498 67 0
CDI 0 63 114 358 988 2178 687 0
VCDI 0 0 4 55 121 516 6133 1994

Date: 2022-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65798 22249 3126 1204 150 12 0 0
OW 25 190 129 450 243 29 5 0
VODI 0 98 47 367 497 160 46 0
ODI 0 72 59 167 478 280 368 0
CDI 0 58 97 342 945 1476 1395 0
VCDI 0 0 2 34 84 197 5086 3135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65798 22257 3160 1299 194 13 0 0
OW 25 176 95 371 228 33 6 0
VODI 0 101 44 336 445 150 51 0
ODI 0 81 52 159 471 303 374 0
CDI 0 52 107 365 970 1459 1370 0
VCDI 0 0 2 34 89 196 5099 3135

Date: 2022-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67601 20363 3544 1062 74 1 0 0
OW 29 187 143 418 150 9 0 0
VODI 0 124 85 486 447 58 1 0
ODI 0 57 48 174 694 348 47 0
CDI 0 34 74 261 710 1448 966 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 69 263 5381 3723
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67601 20363 3588 1284 210 5 0 0
OW 29 164 110 310 235 59 0 0
VODI 0 108 57 315 351 231 38 0
ODI 0 79 44 160 368 308 343 0
CDI 0 51 95 322 904 1372 1712 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 76 152 4302 3723

Date: 2022-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71833 19164 1144 889 37 8 2 0
OW 26 177 132 436 158 16 0 0
VODI 0 101 96 363 479 123 0 0
ODI 0 43 31 206 460 319 53 0
CDI 0 56 72 249 844 1339 1234 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 64 255 5880 2780
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71831 19195 1163 1058 128 31 2 0
OW 28 135 129 306 249 95 0 0
VODI 0 99 65 256 339 261 68 0
ODI 0 52 48 211 298 246 316 0
CDI 0 60 70 305 949 1226 1950 0
VCDI 0 0 0 38 79 201 4833 2780

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67752 20872 3107 1590 102 19 16 0
OW 20 183 118 424 211 28 12 0
VODI 0 84 70 320 460 130 20 0
ODI 0 40 38 240 409 255 88 0
CDI 0 45 61 286 1207 1623 529 0
VCDI 0 0 3 42 76 1192 5664 1764
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67751 20836 3098 1688 231 48 32 0
OW 21 172 103 282 222 101 16 0
VODI 0 107 63 268 382 211 89 0
ODI 0 62 72 243 319 389 70 0
CDI 0 47 58 396 1262 1632 1223 0
VCDI 0 0 3 25 49 866 4899 1764


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