Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 359 91 20 0 3 0 0
OW 0 116 108 68 23 5 1 0
VODI 0 71 142 218 96 34 32 0
ODI 0 33 91 243 233 160 105 0
CDI 0 66 119 478 994 1342 1292 34
VCDI 0 151 190 334 843 5132 17409 1446
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 441 94 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 160 97 62 32 7 7 0
VODI 0 103 156 207 113 58 26 0
ODI 0 49 78 259 238 169 157 0
CDI 0 109 123 443 962 1300 1467 0
VCDI 0 187 264 356 843 5847 16391 1270
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 630 62 9 3 0 0 0
OW 0 137 136 117 20 8 7 0
VODI 0 58 139 380 142 41 13 0
ODI 0 43 96 414 436 328 101 0
CDI 0 186 162 529 1435 2422 1134 0
VCDI 0 162 121 536 400 4874 16547 254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 798 49 60 8 0 0 0
OW 0 154 120 196 38 5 8 0
VODI 0 120 139 376 196 69 5 0
ODI 0 120 123 416 545 378 43 0
CDI 0 352 151 515 1629 2406 829 0
VCDI 0 166 118 426 455 4297 15165 1607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 840 62 61 5 0 0 0
OW 0 119 117 184 43 5 8 0
VODI 0 123 131 384 194 77 6 0
ODI 0 148 117 387 473 306 33 0
CDI 0 316 158 533 1699 2543 859 0
VCDI 0 164 115 440 457 4224 15144 1607

Date: 2022-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 853 145 77 23 0 0 0
OW 0 169 187 276 31 6 9 0
VODI 0 206 140 361 278 58 11 0
ODI 0 216 120 427 649 381 76 0
CDI 0 303 205 587 1910 1689 1358 0
VCDI 0 115 74 321 592 5949 11300 2969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 911 203 114 30 0 0 0
OW 0 129 146 273 55 7 4 0
VODI 0 206 115 321 266 59 16 0
ODI 0 215 128 400 576 297 72 0
CDI 0 284 189 591 1948 1824 1485 0
VCDI 0 117 90 350 608 5896 11177 2969

Date: 2022-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1513 340 171 19 0 0 0
OW 0 237 223 247 24 2 0 0
VODI 0 128 198 659 329 37 8 0
ODI 0 87 94 612 1550 613 68 0
CDI 0 129 99 532 997 2017 980 0
VCDI 0 19 19 190 888 6293 10673 2087
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1069 285 174 50 4 0 0
OW 0 186 110 256 60 16 2 0
VODI 0 292 142 336 251 74 37 0
ODI 0 185 170 503 662 400 106 0
CDI 0 323 230 779 1724 2196 1311 0
VCDI 0 58 36 363 1060 6272 10273 2087

Date: 2022-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1587 607 164 39 17 20 0
OW 0 208 267 316 137 35 0 0
VODI 0 110 162 646 585 86 7 0
ODI 0 50 122 520 1322 485 83 0
CDI 0 123 103 286 1058 1939 1517 0
VCDI 0 8 9 130 1388 5731 8950 3265
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1116 441 148 59 13 16 0
OW 0 198 111 209 99 16 5 0
VODI 0 289 201 305 424 141 39 0
ODI 0 165 243 619 735 313 108 0
CDI 0 291 255 620 1675 2210 2317 0
VCDI 0 27 19 161 1537 5600 8092 3265

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 1637 588 227 27 10 31 0
OW 0 195 301 437 156 34 21 0
VODI 0 116 157 770 721 151 39 0
ODI 0 76 143 506 894 477 119 0
CDI 0 109 118 306 774 1767 2028 0
VCDI 0 9 12 160 775 5069 10241 2876
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 1160 457 230 31 5 0 0
OW 0 207 108 237 126 25 10 0
VODI 0 269 215 417 455 158 55 0
ODI 0 214 275 715 701 357 137 0
CDI 0 280 249 637 1263 2081 3421 75
VCDI 0 12 15 170 771 4882 8856 2801


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