Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 398 204 508 185 8 1 0
OW 0 139 93 500 625 102 2 0
VODI 0 78 54 334 475 212 20 0
ODI 0 52 31 155 405 286 73 0
CDI 0 118 121 296 1150 1534 683 18
VCDI 0 42 56 222 635 8767 23201 4083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 486 280 904 393 56 0 0
OW 0 112 94 413 446 176 5 0
VODI 0 76 52 282 341 149 32 0
ODI 0 84 36 154 436 281 67 0
CDI 0 189 121 365 955 1945 1148 0
VCDI 0 57 48 179 527 5937 23047 5993
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 724 371 1052 449 76 0 0
OW 0 109 167 441 322 87 1 0
VODI 0 123 75 312 458 124 10 0
ODI 0 142 60 224 543 379 45 0
CDI 0 167 76 330 919 2450 580 8
VCDI 0 10 26 160 470 4578 21277 8521
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 833 723 1283 430 31 0 0
OW 0 135 89 518 397 53 0 0
VODI 0 153 50 254 472 107 4 0
ODI 0 123 43 157 595 334 18 0
CDI 0 158 80 269 705 1941 469 8
VCDI 0 54 47 196 399 5034 23686 6018
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 846 755 1432 560 58 0 0
OW 0 110 53 336 284 33 0 0
VODI 0 157 50 277 477 108 1 0
ODI 0 128 50 168 547 319 17 0
CDI 0 160 81 249 720 1927 425 9
VCDI 0 55 43 215 410 5055 23734 6017

Date: 2022-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1018 866 1541 549 43 0 0
OW 0 140 44 340 325 118 1 0
VODI 0 127 36 233 400 251 11 0
ODI 0 108 39 119 325 642 17 0
CDI 0 115 79 317 527 1639 769 19
VCDI 0 97 52 181 467 5987 24633 3691
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1042 870 1592 616 73 0 0
OW 0 94 33 274 286 108 0 0
VODI 0 150 44 248 387 234 6 0
ODI 0 106 40 118 293 595 21 0
CDI 0 111 75 274 523 1649 638 18
VCDI 0 102 54 225 488 6021 24766 3692

Date: 2022-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1266 1057 1497 518 22 0 0
OW 0 165 46 291 297 25 0 0
VODI 0 104 84 357 491 132 0 0
ODI 0 65 41 182 593 1077 17 0
CDI 0 82 77 261 436 1830 812 6
VCDI 0 6 34 266 529 4605 24694 3901
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1159 1056 1553 684 70 0 0
OW 0 119 39 302 315 92 0 0
VODI 0 135 27 205 377 291 3 0
ODI 0 92 36 115 292 578 17 1
CDI 0 107 94 348 576 1541 908 51
VCDI 0 76 87 331 620 5119 24595 3855

Date: 2022-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1458 1331 1673 416 3 0 0
OW 0 118 53 440 361 27 0 0
VODI 0 91 48 294 758 143 1 0
ODI 0 81 40 163 798 898 16 0
CDI 0 77 73 253 1094 1215 625 0
VCDI 0 49 69 213 688 5584 23147 3568
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1261 1300 1704 614 47 0 0
OW 0 113 53 269 301 59 0 0
VODI 0 118 38 288 502 202 4 0
ODI 0 99 18 178 443 424 15 0
CDI 0 172 90 282 1303 1326 854 15
VCDI 0 111 115 315 952 5812 22916 3553

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3033 900 1307 256 12 0 0
OW 0 116 85 502 489 34 0 0
VODI 0 80 25 247 721 365 28 0
ODI 0 78 48 144 687 808 113 0
CDI 0 101 60 169 609 874 575 0
VCDI 0 59 64 335 893 5171 22494 4384
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2829 838 1318 379 44 0 0
OW 0 142 94 373 329 70 3 0
VODI 0 113 43 262 581 153 25 0
ODI 0 92 32 156 396 487 88 0
CDI 0 192 87 296 1081 1290 1264 4
VCDI 0 99 88 299 889 5220 21830 4380


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