Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69394 19012 1955 1730 411 37 2 0
OW 50 405 409 1075 857 162 5 0
VODI 0 217 332 1036 1066 420 95 0
ODI 0 104 200 682 1229 722 367 0
CDI 0 192 347 1135 3315 5108 2506 52
VCDI 0 197 272 599 1604 15920 47371 6456
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65073 24103 2217 1816 639 103 2 0
OW 42 508 423 859 728 266 30 0
VODI 0 294 370 893 845 377 141 0
ODI 0 204 191 651 1265 692 411 0
CDI 0 349 358 1196 3284 5099 3323 0
VCDI 0 244 328 605 1526 13819 45675 8099
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68729 21371 2610 1898 691 105 0 0
OW 50 407 471 955 513 123 16 0
VODI 0 260 305 1122 996 285 40 0
ODI 0 228 225 871 1581 1141 230 0
CDI 0 375 343 1184 3348 6713 2669 8
VCDI 0 172 154 755 1032 10862 44261 9949
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71201 19843 2516 2273 633 44 0 0
OW 35 472 332 1117 700 90 8 0
VODI 0 383 236 964 1189 317 14 0
ODI 0 315 222 768 1739 1185 150 0
CDI 0 574 339 1117 3257 6562 2002 8
VCDI 0 220 169 679 984 9827 44945 9619
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71191 19885 2589 2514 806 76 0 0
OW 45 412 260 854 574 68 8 0
VODI 0 399 232 954 1141 315 12 0
ODI 0 353 218 746 1586 1123 117 0
CDI 0 539 353 1140 3407 6648 1971 9
VCDI 0 219 162 710 988 9795 45011 9618

Date: 2022-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65809 24120 4137 2822 722 55 0 0
OW 25 499 360 1066 599 153 15 0
VODI 0 431 223 961 1175 469 68 0
ODI 0 396 218 713 1452 1303 461 0
CDI 0 476 381 1246 3382 4804 3522 19
VCDI 0 212 128 536 1143 12133 41019 9795
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65809 24210 4233 3005 840 86 0 0
OW 25 399 274 918 569 148 10 0
VODI 0 457 203 905 1098 443 73 0
ODI 0 402 220 677 1340 1195 467 0
CDI 0 447 371 1230 3441 4932 3493 18
VCDI 0 219 146 609 1185 12113 41042 9796

Date: 2022-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67601 23142 4941 2730 611 23 0 0
OW 29 589 412 956 471 36 0 0
VODI 0 356 367 1502 1267 227 9 0
ODI 0 209 183 968 2837 2038 132 0
CDI 0 245 250 1054 2143 5295 2758 6
VCDI 0 25 53 477 1486 11161 40748 9711
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67601 22591 4929 3011 944 79 0 0
OW 29 469 259 868 610 167 2 0
VODI 0 535 226 856 979 596 78 0
ODI 0 356 250 778 1322 1286 466 1
CDI 0 481 419 1449 3204 5109 3931 51
VCDI 0 134 123 725 1756 11543 39170 9665

Date: 2022-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71833 22209 3082 2726 492 28 22 0
OW 26 503 452 1192 656 78 0 0
VODI 0 302 306 1303 1822 352 8 0
ODI 0 174 193 889 2580 1702 152 0
CDI 0 256 248 788 2996 4493 3376 0
VCDI 0 57 78 374 2140 11570 37977 9613
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71831 21572 2904 2910 801 91 18 0
OW 28 446 293 784 649 170 5 0
VODI 0 506 304 849 1265 604 111 0
ODI 0 316 309 1008 1476 983 439 0
CDI 0 523 415 1207 3927 4762 5121 15
VCDI 0 138 134 514 2568 11613 35841 9598

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67757 25542 4595 3124 385 41 47 0
OW 20 494 504 1363 856 96 33 0
VODI 0 280 252 1337 1902 646 87 0
ODI 0 194 229 890 1990 1540 320 0
CDI 0 255 239 761 2590 4264 3132 0
VCDI 0 68 79 537 1744 11432 38399 9024
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67756 24825 4393 3236 641 97 32 0
OW 21 521 305 892 677 196 29 0
VODI 0 489 321 947 1418 522 169 0
ODI 0 368 379 1114 1416 1233 295 0
CDI 0 519 394 1329 3606 5003 5908 79
VCDI 0 111 106 494 1709 10968 35585 8945


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