Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64393 19630 2270 1634 462 120 33 0
OW 60 139 175 420 224 49 19 0
VODI 0 81 89 407 359 150 38 0
ODI 0 86 130 483 641 407 111 0
CDI 0 29 125 551 961 1398 579 0
VCDI 0 1 18 210 518 2772 7864 1464
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61404 22251 3152 1594 348 68 0 0
OW 50 104 231 415 199 92 2 0
VODI 0 83 74 369 414 229 37 0
ODI 0 85 145 578 607 504 93 0
CDI 0 55 129 648 1105 1707 1437 0
VCDI 0 3 18 132 251 1757 7675 1055
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64798 19603 3596 1657 252 10 0 0
OW 44 119 166 526 221 41 0 0
VODI 0 41 82 609 487 140 1 0
ODI 0 18 60 323 808 486 15 0
CDI 0 7 49 386 1061 2111 936 0
VCDI 0 0 1 21 119 1174 7904 1228
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66253 20404 2229 1341 210 22 0 0
OW 43 116 182 564 205 58 8 0
VODI 0 56 123 521 483 189 50 0
ODI 0 19 66 314 575 339 195 0
CDI 0 9 57 361 1041 1716 1181 0
VCDI 0 4 19 52 124 1391 7626 954
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66253 20420 2235 1337 220 31 2 0
OW 43 108 167 521 195 53 8 0
VODI 0 46 127 536 456 172 40 0
ODI 0 20 72 338 583 351 130 0
CDI 0 10 56 367 1054 1735 1244 0
VCDI 0 4 19 54 130 1373 7636 954

Date: 2022-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66755 20541 2387 1070 242 29 8 0
OW 50 147 254 437 219 95 25 0
VODI 0 70 169 437 431 142 108 0
ODI 0 30 69 259 537 296 216 0
CDI 0 12 118 356 1275 2286 386 0
VCDI 0 1 19 40 111 1722 7102 649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66755 20557 2376 1035 242 33 10 0
OW 50 139 250 442 202 80 23 0
VODI 0 66 178 457 437 146 79 0
ODI 0 26 78 265 521 308 213 0
CDI 0 12 116 359 1299 2291 418 0
VCDI 0 1 18 41 114 1712 7102 649

Date: 2022-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64898 23809 1956 864 204 28 0 0
OW 42 176 214 424 137 29 5 0
VODI 0 82 116 501 332 82 12 0
ODI 0 44 59 264 708 416 52 0
CDI 0 32 95 283 988 1889 899 0
VCDI 0 1 14 51 138 995 7039 1222
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64898 23612 1830 952 294 53 7 0
OW 42 231 199 348 212 75 19 0
VODI 0 132 182 348 301 173 104 0
ODI 0 84 78 246 405 411 188 0
CDI 0 81 137 415 1075 1726 1087 0
VCDI 0 4 28 78 220 1001 6602 1222

Date: 2022-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72217 16871 1951 840 248 31 0 0
OW 47 165 173 360 240 26 2 0
VODI 0 111 69 361 440 168 11 0
ODI 0 62 60 206 580 491 87 0
CDI 0 54 98 302 935 1828 1061 0
VCDI 0 0 6 54 144 1040 6433 1328
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72214 16593 1850 913 440 85 6 0
OW 50 259 139 274 247 108 21 0
VODI 0 172 137 225 356 195 162 0
ODI 0 108 71 234 378 510 77 0
CDI 0 131 146 405 958 1677 1187 0
VCDI 0 0 14 72 208 1009 6141 1328

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68430 19903 2898 975 184 18 0 0
OW 27 182 120 413 262 39 3 0
VODI 0 110 48 303 559 135 23 0
ODI 0 74 54 190 560 389 230 0
CDI 0 62 103 353 956 1610 1263 0
VCDI 0 0 4 44 93 361 5978 2144
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68429 19530 2818 1092 455 114 25 0
OW 28 293 121 263 219 80 64 0
VODI 0 190 79 229 385 158 108 0
ODI 0 148 49 193 417 364 230 0
CDI 0 170 151 439 975 1364 1500 0
VCDI 0 0 9 62 163 472 5570 2144


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