Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 165 107 110 22 3 5 0
OW 0 90 166 276 166 38 5 0
VODI 0 56 37 252 551 172 55 0
ODI 0 76 29 142 421 219 109 0
CDI 0 104 77 228 667 824 541 2
VCDI 0 79 173 382 534 3441 24851 10691
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 185 142 187 47 8 5 0
OW 0 70 95 320 403 67 8 0
VODI 0 52 32 266 462 204 17 0
ODI 0 59 22 131 430 247 52 0
CDI 0 103 64 222 663 1029 580 2
VCDI 0 100 137 372 485 3443 23020 12135
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 204 130 230 54 6 1 0
OW 0 89 88 370 297 12 1 0
VODI 0 63 63 391 777 226 1 0
ODI 0 48 19 184 553 468 38 0
CDI 0 88 81 273 558 1020 1018 14
VCDI 0 42 57 236 337 4005 26492 7332
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 281 204 347 105 6 2 0
OW 0 120 131 511 480 33 1 0
VODI 0 55 78 412 728 204 10 0
ODI 0 44 38 162 407 334 57 0
CDI 0 101 121 307 1273 1460 385 19
VCDI 0 31 47 214 926 7404 24671 4157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 295 212 416 249 27 2 0
OW 0 107 115 409 468 71 1 0
VODI 0 63 91 447 588 182 18 0
ODI 0 40 38 158 380 287 38 0
CDI 0 95 117 325 1284 1501 358 19
VCDI 0 32 46 198 950 7373 24709 4157

Date: 2022-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 446 255 732 292 14 0 0
OW 0 132 103 482 553 134 4 0
VODI 0 61 57 327 363 151 24 0
ODI 0 61 30 202 423 255 66 0
CDI 0 142 113 307 1172 1531 909 18
VCDI 0 60 45 211 547 7410 22825 5409
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 463 258 760 523 90 0 0
OW 0 118 97 430 323 70 1 0
VODI 0 67 63 342 342 150 14 0
ODI 0 64 33 203 422 242 58 0
CDI 0 130 106 319 1161 1683 925 18
VCDI 0 60 46 207 579 7260 22830 5409

Date: 2022-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 654 328 917 329 33 0 0
OW 0 102 133 322 321 70 2 0
VODI 0 97 118 442 508 152 6 0
ODI 0 118 72 240 618 418 32 0
CDI 0 167 114 298 920 2409 876 3
VCDI 0 1 5 130 432 4298 23032 7149
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 567 330 1054 621 123 0 0
OW 0 94 89 284 237 81 4 0
VODI 0 91 108 287 329 182 20 0
ODI 0 117 73 155 377 281 65 0
CDI 0 196 131 393 1051 2140 1308 4
VCDI 0 74 39 176 513 4573 22551 7148

Date: 2022-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 794 426 1168 514 73 0 0
OW 0 122 135 442 392 92 2 0
VODI 0 146 55 267 440 149 13 0
ODI 0 139 51 195 460 414 37 0
CDI 0 160 86 319 609 2399 523 8
VCDI 0 43 31 170 409 4438 24101 6044
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 702 381 1255 669 116 0 0
OW 0 96 88 250 259 81 2 0
VODI 0 133 108 277 371 196 15 0
ODI 0 157 51 167 340 327 37 0
CDI 0 245 126 440 778 2439 1051 19
VCDI 0 71 30 172 407 4406 23571 6033

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 991 695 1425 484 22 1 0
OW 0 137 81 442 428 51 0 0
VODI 0 134 48 258 449 169 8 0
ODI 0 114 35 149 454 461 42 0
CDI 0 119 83 252 742 1617 575 16
VCDI 0 84 57 193 425 5451 23800 5374
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 907 566 1414 639 31 0 0
OW 0 139 139 261 201 78 7 0
VODI 0 129 99 307 423 157 8 0
ODI 0 166 37 170 345 348 45 1
CDI 0 145 100 370 962 1856 1205 20
VCDI 0 93 58 197 412 5301 23161 5369


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