Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-06-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64393 19885 2454 1812 487 123 38 0
OW 60 251 375 803 409 88 24 0
VODI 0 176 181 821 1000 335 95 0
ODI 0 189 212 806 1279 694 242 0
CDI 0 207 272 1018 2456 3671 1649 2
VCDI 0 199 307 938 1971 10823 49883 16420
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61404 22568 3406 1861 400 76 5 0
OW 50 238 399 805 614 162 11 0
VODI 0 175 178 789 957 447 56 0
ODI 0 174 214 898 1217 839 172 0
CDI 0 208 260 1190 2552 4007 2704 2
VCDI 0 231 268 831 1635 9506 45999 19540
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64798 20114 3867 1935 310 16 1 0
OW 44 283 328 991 527 56 3 0
VODI 0 146 242 1240 1377 383 4 0
ODI 0 84 122 754 1670 1146 96 0
CDI 0 172 225 1065 2487 4963 2508 14
VCDI 0 132 132 437 1153 9736 50469 13018
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66253 21006 2545 1723 316 28 2 0
OW 43 326 405 1169 705 96 11 0
VODI 0 168 306 1144 1324 432 78 0
ODI 0 85 200 707 1224 828 372 0
CDI 0 191 279 1125 3348 4542 2716 19
VCDI 0 163 189 553 2254 14467 49198 6508
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66253 21057 2557 1795 470 60 4 0
OW 43 290 384 1014 685 127 11 0
VODI 0 163 331 1226 1162 384 73 0
ODI 0 82 188 711 1204 787 294 0
CDI 0 184 288 1156 3340 4630 2755 19
VCDI 0 163 176 519 2310 14405 49240 6508

Date: 2022-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66755 21395 2740 1806 534 43 8 0
OW 50 412 473 968 792 237 34 0
VODI 0 189 413 977 914 334 168 0
ODI 0 100 217 729 1187 719 410 0
CDI 0 171 414 1099 3383 5267 2634 18
VCDI 0 164 349 617 1460 14529 46823 7516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66755 21463 2743 1803 765 124 12 0
OW 50 356 457 930 553 157 29 0
VODI 0 189 442 1028 889 338 128 0
ODI 0 98 216 721 1215 728 393 0
CDI 0 162 395 1116 3384 5442 2764 18
VCDI 0 163 353 598 1464 14340 46751 7516

Date: 2022-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64898 25036 2337 1797 535 61 0 0
OW 42 418 474 823 477 109 15 0
VODI 0 258 400 1284 992 268 31 0
ODI 0 196 225 869 1751 1174 176 0
CDI 0 347 394 1071 3153 6552 3170 3
VCDI 0 146 109 462 1087 11423 45557 8928
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64898 24724 2203 2022 919 176 8 0
OW 42 454 385 699 484 170 31 0
VODI 0 307 442 860 742 426 154 0
ODI 0 235 234 657 1056 970 380 0
CDI 0 409 448 1319 3185 5562 3801 4
VCDI 0 272 227 749 1609 12283 44575 8927

Date: 2022-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72217 18338 2455 2034 768 104 0 0
OW 47 452 430 951 658 128 14 0
VODI 0 346 254 993 1046 374 34 0
ODI 0 288 221 844 1527 1225 201 0
CDI 0 538 349 1115 2953 6630 2801 8
VCDI 0 223 146 827 866 8396 47757 8490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72214 17855 2300 2199 1116 201 7 0
OW 50 536 293 599 536 202 34 0
VODI 0 456 380 739 861 465 211 0
ODI 0 385 220 729 1038 1163 229 0
CDI 0 644 470 1696 3251 6073 3269 19
VCDI 0 309 192 802 1016 8753 47057 8479

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68437 21714 3714 2458 685 40 1 0
OW 27 507 335 1085 717 93 14 0
VODI 0 415 241 924 1209 386 44 0
ODI 0 375 200 732 1560 1304 370 0
CDI 0 532 348 1176 3510 5178 3090 16
VCDI 0 217 169 660 983 11460 43174 8948
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68436 21067 3492 2554 1095 145 26 0
OW 28 642 363 634 436 161 81 0
VODI 0 526 287 857 995 418 128 0
ODI 0 534 213 693 1266 1127 362 1
CDI 0 633 408 1568 3758 4991 3590 20
VCDI 0 358 244 729 1114 11619 42506 8943


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