Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63509 19947 1711 1229 546 207 70 0
OW 54 108 158 400 320 103 27 0
VODI 0 98 86 282 371 161 75 0
ODI 0 53 74 182 503 308 174 0
CDI 0 27 77 245 977 1544 491 0
VCDI 0 4 70 283 444 2420 6475 5287
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59478 21996 3594 1791 695 127 39 0
OW 53 137 151 365 234 83 41 0
VODI 0 120 85 313 312 136 122 0
ODI 0 81 58 223 453 195 210 0
CDI 0 88 83 263 957 1562 564 0
VCDI 0 91 99 245 550 2352 7424 3730
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63988 19746 1889 1662 504 157 12 0
OW 61 117 159 447 203 32 19 0
VODI 0 66 70 419 442 77 31 0
ODI 0 47 59 308 859 338 35 0
CDI 0 56 126 389 1249 1867 530 0
VCDI 0 6 8 64 427 2534 7572 2525
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62977 20397 2865 1600 404 104 34 0
OW 61 143 179 432 211 36 17 0
VODI 0 72 93 436 414 100 37 0
ODI 0 99 112 402 756 366 71 0
CDI 0 44 128 448 1020 1336 380 0
VCDI 0 1 9 224 623 3721 7268 1480
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62977 20422 2896 1689 462 105 32 0
OW 61 127 148 333 197 41 19 0
VODI 0 68 97 426 351 91 32 0
ODI 0 91 104 415 756 332 61 0
CDI 0 48 126 429 1024 1393 402 0
VCDI 0 0 15 250 638 3701 7261 1480

Date: 2022-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62088 20916 3098 1985 448 141 21 0
OW 60 111 210 392 206 62 18 0
VODI 0 73 73 425 336 166 64 0
ODI 0 101 135 586 587 367 180 0
CDI 0 38 120 648 1026 1603 772 0
VCDI 0 1 19 187 523 2596 7591 1127
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62088 20954 3139 2052 507 158 17 0
OW 60 88 165 319 173 67 20 0
VODI 0 69 77 410 290 126 53 0
ODI 0 93 131 569 593 381 165 0
CDI 0 35 122 615 1053 1658 865 0
VCDI 0 1 21 258 510 2545 7526 1127

Date: 2022-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63151 21315 2993 1724 269 35 0 0
OW 49 103 196 566 193 45 2 0
VODI 0 39 75 647 532 108 7 0
ODI 0 13 51 336 916 467 14 0
CDI 0 7 53 418 1136 2305 720 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 148 1606 7498 1339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63149 21138 2799 1587 376 80 1 0
OW 51 109 156 342 189 75 6 0
VODI 0 88 85 409 380 226 14 0
ODI 0 90 154 568 646 476 27 0
CDI 0 49 169 689 1359 2029 1231 0
VCDI 0 3 5 120 244 1680 6962 1339

Date: 2022-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64945 21063 2602 1334 234 7 0 0
OW 44 129 175 554 202 50 0 0
VODI 0 50 106 578 467 191 9 0
ODI 0 16 55 379 663 426 38 0
CDI 0 7 49 358 962 1615 1344 0
VCDI 0 0 10 45 138 1161 8239 855
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64943 20690 2182 1089 320 66 1 0
OW 46 192 217 295 189 98 0 0
VODI 0 156 204 499 344 258 31 0
ODI 0 150 157 619 478 330 27 0
CDI 0 72 215 653 1142 1494 1569 0
VCDI 0 5 22 93 193 1204 8002 855

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69394 18255 1660 1202 226 26 1 0
OW 50 150 208 507 209 55 2 0
VODI 0 68 136 484 495 174 43 0
ODI 0 19 78 284 591 276 189 0
CDI 0 8 107 361 1171 2232 531 0
VCDI 0 4 26 43 126 2021 6761 927
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69393 17638 1210 973 330 95 1 0
OW 51 315 183 266 190 80 26 0
VODI 0 206 296 522 341 85 223 0
ODI 0 151 212 530 475 171 20 0
CDI 0 186 261 461 1260 2671 835 0
VCDI 0 8 53 129 222 1682 6422 927


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