Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61662 20688 1342 952 373 145 6 0
OW 62 134 187 472 318 126 28 0
VODI 1 27 76 328 566 295 90 0
ODI 0 5 15 146 456 471 207 0
CDI 0 10 4 73 548 1740 816 0
VCDI 0 6 19 71 373 3124 8425 4713
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62209 17827 3974 911 329 53 9 0
OW 67 176 148 459 324 100 36 0
VODI 0 31 74 314 520 252 153 0
ODI 0 1 11 152 479 490 226 0
CDI 0 11 8 92 704 1658 1068 0
VCDI 0 22 29 93 456 2938 7641 5055
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62990 19189 1927 1088 303 67 14 0
OW 56 110 147 422 306 70 8 0
VODI 0 10 57 304 664 312 45 0
ODI 0 9 10 142 679 522 120 0
CDI 0 7 10 124 772 1823 923 0
VCDI 0 0 7 128 915 2813 8634 3373
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60006 22137 2090 1063 418 75 21 0
OW 69 134 151 396 551 138 26 0
VODI 0 39 115 283 553 215 79 0
ODI 0 7 53 201 427 290 133 0
CDI 0 15 11 162 897 1491 542 6
VCDI 0 2 17 92 778 3454 6578 5385
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60006 22180 2099 1093 491 78 22 0
OW 69 103 155 341 446 127 25 0
VODI 0 29 112 332 609 240 74 0
ODI 0 6 41 192 385 313 115 0
CDI 0 14 13 147 960 1550 554 5
VCDI 0 2 17 92 733 3355 6589 5386

Date: 2022-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63800 19327 1321 1109 569 179 38 0
OW 63 154 110 248 518 178 55 0
VODI 0 54 117 208 368 203 79 0
ODI 0 33 65 186 346 316 121 0
CDI 0 19 16 234 862 1180 731 0
VCDI 0 15 45 162 969 3164 6465 5473
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63800 19356 1334 1128 632 170 22 0
OW 63 137 108 258 455 178 63 0
VODI 0 52 129 191 384 229 84 0
ODI 0 19 41 189 318 323 111 0
CDI 0 21 14 215 890 1219 627 0
VCDI 0 17 48 166 953 3101 6582 5473

Date: 2022-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65844 17035 1963 931 291 128 55 0
OW 66 66 195 397 350 99 47 0
VODI 0 40 92 398 532 128 51 0
ODI 0 11 27 243 814 390 72 0
CDI 0 24 18 200 1170 2043 559 0
VCDI 0 31 44 154 481 2028 6474 5609
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65844 16956 1976 1099 556 198 68 0
OW 66 91 128 290 389 120 88 0
VODI 0 63 91 224 391 169 73 0
ODI 0 25 64 185 345 320 130 0
CDI 0 16 16 279 1075 1538 544 0
VCDI 0 56 64 246 882 2471 6355 5609

Date: 2022-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63776 17871 3019 1256 499 185 62 0
OW 56 74 142 445 359 126 32 0
VODI 0 51 96 318 516 169 54 0
ODI 0 15 59 229 510 348 159 0
CDI 0 31 13 272 1111 1519 623 0
VCDI 0 75 67 244 579 2122 6475 5543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63776 17786 2945 1362 772 293 84 0
OW 56 91 136 285 254 111 51 0
VODI 0 78 109 288 305 150 86 0
ODI 0 37 82 194 335 277 238 0
CDI 0 21 40 298 979 1255 617 0
VCDI 0 104 84 337 929 2383 6329 5543

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63509 19947 1711 1229 546 207 70 0
OW 54 108 158 400 320 103 27 0
VODI 0 98 86 282 371 161 75 0
ODI 0 53 74 182 503 308 174 0
CDI 0 27 77 245 977 1544 491 0
VCDI 0 4 70 283 444 2420 6475 5287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63508 19810 1585 1279 699 286 104 0
OW 55 144 161 237 177 73 42 0
VODI 0 126 143 270 269 112 70 0
ODI 0 67 77 214 360 290 201 0
CDI 0 56 91 235 878 1156 543 4
VCDI 0 34 119 386 778 2826 6352 5283


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