Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 10 6 6 1 0 0
OW 0 8 8 13 25 17 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 13 40 37 7 0
ODI 0 0 1 22 49 58 16 0
CDI 0 0 9 78 128 223 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 84 393 2832 13379 14331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 6 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 10 35 24 1 0 0
VODI 0 4 6 28 59 8 1 0
ODI 0 1 6 32 81 29 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 38 237 178 99 0
VCDI 0 0 1 60 458 2878 13299 14422
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 53 36 14 1 0 0
OW 0 41 39 41 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 21 30 89 46 9 2 0
ODI 0 4 19 85 98 12 11 0
CDI 0 4 8 76 208 189 80 0
VCDI 0 0 10 85 514 3036 13708 13415
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 15 77 14 4 0 0
OW 0 47 21 43 9 4 0 0
VODI 0 29 53 91 31 5 7 0
ODI 0 13 21 114 99 35 16 0
CDI 0 5 22 139 274 200 144 0
VCDI 0 4 14 217 701 3434 12775 13300
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 21 91 15 4 0 0
OW 0 53 26 40 8 4 0 0
VODI 0 17 42 88 33 4 7 0
ODI 0 10 18 105 95 29 18 0
CDI 0 9 22 132 267 211 133 0
VCDI 0 5 17 225 710 3430 12784 13300

Date: 2022-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 59 49 10 2 0 0
OW 0 42 39 49 8 4 1 0
VODI 0 14 51 97 11 7 6 0
ODI 0 8 13 100 70 15 20 0
CDI 0 5 24 122 378 226 133 0
VCDI 0 7 29 188 981 4089 12581 12559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 95 68 57 11 2 0 0
OW 0 34 35 47 6 5 1 0
VODI 0 12 47 104 13 6 8 0
ODI 0 6 13 87 77 16 18 0
CDI 0 4 17 103 334 260 135 0
VCDI 0 10 35 207 1017 4054 12579 12559

Date: 2022-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 66 82 38 5 0 0 0
OW 0 29 46 78 10 3 0 0
VODI 0 7 39 150 55 17 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 145 153 84 8 0
CDI 0 2 6 259 594 562 221 18
VCDI 0 8 44 210 915 3757 11457 13006
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 71 86 45 7 0 0 0
OW 0 21 27 40 10 5 0 0
VODI 0 10 40 104 37 25 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 108 88 50 17 0
CDI 0 0 9 196 360 446 196 1
VCDI 0 10 51 387 1230 3897 11473 13023

Date: 2022-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 147 71 47 3 0 0 0
OW 0 28 33 108 22 2 0 0
VODI 0 4 23 132 78 15 3 0
ODI 0 3 31 130 141 55 20 0
CDI 0 8 42 313 538 545 224 30
VCDI 0 25 75 348 1244 4223 11472 11899
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 129 58 48 3 0 0 0
OW 0 30 21 52 11 4 0 0
VODI 0 16 30 75 46 9 9 0
ODI 0 5 25 133 86 23 29 0
CDI 0 5 46 310 432 582 345 10
VCDI 0 30 95 460 1448 4222 11336 11919

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 175 51 21 2 0 0 0
OW 0 35 78 79 20 4 0 0
VODI 0 11 33 115 85 27 5 0
ODI 0 24 46 114 146 66 59 0
CDI 0 30 126 230 444 588 491 32
VCDI 0 92 123 446 1337 4075 13177 9695
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 166 75 37 6 0 0 0
OW 0 28 24 39 30 7 3 0
VODI 0 17 42 86 55 10 9 0
ODI 0 20 41 118 91 56 54 0
CDI 0 37 123 224 445 594 469 7
VCDI 0 99 152 501 1407 4093 13197 9720


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